Giants vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - July 7, 2024

Giants at Guardians

5:40 pm • BSGL

San Francisco Giants

0-0

4 - 5

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Carrasco			5.64	3-10
H.Birdsong			4.75	5-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 0-0	+1.5-183	o8.5-117	+111
Guardians 1-2	-1.5+152	u8.5-102	-131

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

July 07, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 8.5+100

0.25u

Small to -108

Over 8.5-115

CLE -124

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -135

C.Carrasco u4.5 Ks+115

0.69u

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .071 (1-for-14) against Giants RPs with RISP this month -- second best in MLB. The Guardians are batting just .179 with RISP this month -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Guardians have a strikeout rate of 29% this month -- second highest in MLB. Giants have struck out 30% this month -- second highest in MLB.

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Projections' High-Level Strikeout Prop
Alex Kolodziej•
Jul 7, 2024 UTC

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The Giants are just 9-13 (.409) after a road loss this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Guardians are 54-32 (.628) this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Andres Gimenez has an OPS of just .690 since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Tyler Holton has allowed an OPS of just .545 (502 PAs) since last season -- eighth best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

33% of Steven Kwan strikeouts are looking since last season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 42% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since last season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of .935 (485 PA's) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: .709 -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .392 (67-for-171) against Carlos Carrasco's inside fastball since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: .261 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Guardians' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38
Giants	76-86	35-46	41-40	35-57	40-28

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5
Giants	75-80-7	35-45-1	40-35-6	36-55-1	37-25-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46
Giants	81-81	42-39	39-42	49-43	31-37

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 6th	SF	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CLE -130
Jul 5th	SF	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SF -185
Jul 4th	CWS	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	CLE -225
Jul 3rd	CWS	L 2-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CWS -229
Jul 2nd	CWS	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 9	CLE -218

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Tom Murphy
C
Murphy is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
RP
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Birdsong, P	85	4.2	5	2
RS.Hjelle, P	29	1	1	3
RR.Walker, P	15	1.1	0	0
LE.Miller, P	21	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Soler, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2L.Wade, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3H.Ramos, CF	1-4	0	0	1
4P.Bailey, C	1-4	1	0	0
5M.Chapman, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
6M.Conforto, LF	1-4	1	1	3
7M.Yastrzemski, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7A.Slater, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Slater, RF	0-1	0	0	0
7L.Matos, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7T.Fitzgerald, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8B.Wisely, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
9N.Ahmed, SS	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Carrasco, P	86	5	4	3
RC.Smith, P	15	1	1	0
LT.Herrin, P	9	1	1	0
RH.Gaddis, P	14	1	0	0
RE.Clase, P	18	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2A.Martinez, 3B	1-1	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5D.Schneemann, RF	1-3	0	0	1
5J.Noel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Noel, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
7T.Freeman, CF	1-3	1	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, PH	1-2	1	1	3
8B.Naylor, C	1-2	1	1	3
9B.Rocchio, SS	2-3	0	0	0