Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - September 1, 2025
Guardians at Red Sox
5:35 pm • CLEGStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.35 | 11-9 | |
 |  | 2.72 | 3-1 |
Guardians at Red Sox Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Guardians 1-2 | +1.5 | +1.5-168 | o8-116 | +122 |
Red Sox 1-2 | u8.5 | -1.5+142 | u8-106 | -146 |
Fenway ParkBoston
Guardians vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 33-42-0 (-9.9u)
BOS -132 (Live)
0.38u
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 29-75-0 (-53.0u)
CLE +122
2u
📚Player Profit
🔑 Guardians ML +122 (Player Profit) 2u
I’m backing the Guardians moneyline today at +122 because while the Red Sox are modest favorites, Cleveland has shown surprising resilience as a road underdog. They’ve won more than half their games when listed as underdogs (+122 or longer) and have gone 4–1 recently. These odds offer value—Boston’s ~59% win probability overlooks the Guardians’ ability to stay competitive and produce upsets, making the +122 line a smart value play.
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The Propfessor
Last 30d: 58-52-0 (+1.9u)
P.Messick o15.5 Outs-115
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 94-116-6 (-5.0u)
Under 8.5-120
0.5u
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 33-42-0 (-9.9u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-122
0.5u
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 50-49-0 (-6.0u)
B.Bello u2.5 Earned Runs-130
1.3u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 158-127-2 (+4.3u)
Under 8.5-105
0.53u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 81-71-1 (+6.1u)
CLE +135
0.5u
Bet to +125
Guardians vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Guardians vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Red Sox are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Guardians vs. Red Sox Injury Updates
Guardians Injuries
Red Sox Injuries
- Tanner HouckSP
Houck is out with arm
Out
- Johan OviedoSP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
- Patrick SandovalSP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
- Kutter CrawfordSP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
- Jovani MoranRP
Moran is out with arm
Out
Guardians vs. Red Sox Box Score
Guardians Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 82 | 3.2 | 2 | 3 | |
 | 10 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 22 | 0.1 | 1 | 2 | |
 | 15 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Red Sox Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 100 | 5 | 4 | 3 | |
 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 23 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison
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Guardians at Red Sox Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Guardians 1-2 | o3.5-120 | u3.5-108 |
Red Sox 1-2 | o4.5+112 | u4.5-143 |