Orioles vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - June 20, 2025

Orioles at Yankees

11:05 pm • YES

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

5 - 3

New York Yankees

3-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Fried			2.86	19-5
T.Sugano			4.64	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-0	+1.5	+1.5+136	o9-107	+262
Yankees 3-4	u9	-1.5-156	u9-117	-331

Friday 11:05 p.m.

June 20, 2025

Yankee StadiumBronx

Under 9 (Live)-105

BAL +375 (Live)

3.75u

NYY -1.5-154

T.Sugano u3.5 Earned Runs-120

0.42u

Sugano isn’t going to blow the Yankees away but we now have an 80-inning sample of him in the Majors holding a 3.38 ERA. His underlying metrics aren’t amazing (14.1% K%) but we already knew he was going to be a low strikeout pitcher. What has impressed me is his small 4.3% BB% as he just has elite control and doesn’t walk many batters. The Yankees broke out for seven runs last night but it doesn’t hurt their offense has been in a bit of a slump lately. They have averaged 5.12 runs per game this season and are implied for 6 runs tonight. Still, I’m backing Sugano to stay under 3.5 earned runs here.

M.Fried o6.5 Ks-110

T.Sugano o3.5 Earned Runs+105

T.Sugano o15.5 Outs-128

1.28u

Under 9-105

Under 9.5-125

0.8u

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T.Sugano u3.5 Earned Runs-124

0.81u

M.Fried o6.5 Ks+105

1.05u

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 35-46 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	78-84	43-38	35-46	68-72	9-12
Orioles	78-84	37-44	41-40	25-41	51-42

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	76-81-5	36-44-1	40-37-4	64-73-3	11-8-2
Orioles	65-92-5	34-44-3	31-48-2	31-32-3	32-59-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	50-31	44-37	85-55	8-13
Orioles	75-87	39-42	36-45	32-34	40-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 19th	LAA	W 7-3	-1.5 W	U 10.5	NYY -291
Jun 18th	LAA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	LAA -255
Jun 17th	LAA	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 9	LAA -243
Jun 16th	LAA	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8	LAA -204
Jun 15th	@BOS	L 0-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BOS -188

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Sugano, P	89	3.2	4	3
LK.Akin, P	30	1.1	0	0
RY.Cano, P	24	1	1	0
RS.Blewett, P	19	2	2	0
RF.Bautista, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Holliday, DH	3-5	1	0	0
2J.Westburg, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3R.Laureano, RF	0-4	1	0	0
4R.Urias, 3B	1-5	1	1	1
5C.Cowser, CF	1-3	1	0	0
6G.Sanchez, C	2-3	1	0	2
7C.Mayo, 1B	2-3	0	0	1
7R.O'Hearn, PH	1-1	0	0	0
7R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-1	0	0	0
8D.Carlson, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9L.Vazquez, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9G.Henderson, PH	1-1	0	0	1
9G.Henderson, SS	1-1	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	105	6	7	3
RJ.Loaisiga, P	14	1	2	0
RL.Weaver, P	24	0.2	1	2
LT.Hill, P	6	0.1	0	0
RI.Hamilton, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
2T.Grisham, CF	0-4	1	0	0
3A.Judge, RF	3-4	1	1	1
4J.Chisholm, 3B	2-5	0	0	1
5G.Stanton, DH	1-3	0	0	0
6J.Dominguez, LF	1-2	0	0	1
7A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8A.Wells, C	1-4	0	0	0
9D.LeMahieu, 2B	2-4	0	0	0