Padres vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - April 19, 2025

Padres at Astros

12:10 am • SCHN

San Diego Padres

42-35

4 - 6

Houston Astros

45-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Gusto			4.62	5-3
K.Hart			6.66	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 42-35	+1.5	+1.5-152	o9-112	+140
Astros 45-33	u9	-1.5+126	u9-112	-173

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

April 19, 2025

Daikin ParkHouston

R.Gusto u15.5 Outs-175

1.14u

4.58% ev

HOU -1-115

1.74u

C.Walker o0.5 HR+440

0.2u

C.Walker o0.5 HR+420

0.2u

3.27% ev

F.Tatis o0.5 RBI+130

🔑 Fernando Tatis 1+ RBI +130 (DraftKings) 2u Nando is locked in this season. 14 RBI in in 18 GP. 2 mid pitchers going so I expect a lot of runs (so does Vegas with a 9.5 O/U. BetAlytics model loves this one too. 5 ⭐️ grade and a 52.8% expected win probability Code LOCKSELOT for 25% off at BetAlytics Join 👉🔗 https://www.betalytics.com/

HOU -152

R.Gusto u4.5 Ks-155

0.84u

3.41% ev

K.Hart u3.5 Ks-106

0.94u

#SO

HOU -137

0.73u

Bring out the garbage cans

HOU -1.5+155

1.55u

Love the price and fits my favorite MLB system

HOU -125 (F5)

0.25u

Bet to -140

HOU -125

0.8u

Astros are undervalued here — Ryan Gusto owns a 3.00 ERA, 2.83 xERA, and elite 31.9% K rate. Hart? 5.40 ERA, just 17.4% Ks. Gusto’s walk rate just 6.4%, limits damage. Plus run values on all pitch types. Hard contact allowed under 45% — dude’s dialed in. Houston lineup’s stacked — six starters with xwOBA north of .300, setting tone early. Yordan (.398) + Peña (.393) lead the charge. Average exit velocity above 90 mph, launch angle dialed for damage. Home park helps slug — Minute Maid boosts their profile notably. Astros thrive at home — offense up 15%, best RISP avg in MLB this season.

Under 9-115

0.58u

Friday. Assuming roof closed. Bet to -115

HOU -120

0.42u

Friday. Flat to -130

Juicy Strikeout Prop Edges Today
Action AI•
Apr 18, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 19-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Astros' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	41-37	22-18	19-19	25-30	16-6
Padres	42-35	21-15	21-20	20-19	22-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	32-43-3	16-24	16-19-3	26-28-1	5-15-2
Padres	31-43-3	14-21-1	17-22-2	19-19-1	12-24-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	45-33	27-13	18-20	33-22	12-10
Padres	42-35	23-13	19-22	24-15	18-20

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	@STL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	STL -111
Apr 15th	@STL	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	HOU -134
Apr 14th	@STL	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 7	STL -110
Apr 13th	LAA	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	HOU -165
Apr 12th	LAA	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 9	LAA -164

Lance McCullers
SP
Lance McCullers (foot) has been scratched Monday. Ryan Gusto will start for the Astros.
Out
Taylor Trammell
LF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
SP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
SP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
RF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
SP
France is out with shoulder
Out
Hayden Wesneski
RP
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out
Spencer Arrighetti
SP
Arrighetti is out with thumb
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
SP
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Michael King
SP
Michael King (shoulder) has been scratched Saturday. Sean Reynolds will start for the Padres.
Out
Matt Waldron
SP
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LK.Hart, P	79	5	2	5
RA.Jacob, P	20	2	1	0
LY.Matsui, P	20	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2L.Arraez, 1B	3-5	1	1	2
3M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-4	1	0	0
5G.Sheets, DH	2-4	1	0	0
6O.Gonzalez, LF	2-4	0	0	1
7J.Iglesias, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
8T.Wade, CF	1-4	0	0	1
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Joe, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Gusto, P	68	5	2	2
LS.Okert, P	14	1	2	0
LB.King, P	16	1	0	2
RB.Abreu, P	15	1	2	0
LJ.Hader, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, LF	2-4	0	0	0
2I.Paredes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5J.Pena, SS	1-3	1	0	0
6Y.Diaz, C	2-4	1	0	1
7B.Rodgers, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Meyers, CF	3-4	1	0	1
9C.Smith, RF	2-4	2	2	4
9C.McCormick, RF	0-0	0	0	0