Padres vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2024

Padres at Rangers

12:05 am • MLB Network

San Diego Padres

14-11

6 - 4

Texas Rangers

16-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Gray			4.47	5-6
A.Mazur			7.49	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 14-11	+1.5	+1.5-155	o9+100	+136
Rangers 16-11	u9	-1.5+130	u9-120	-162

Thursday 12:05 a.m.

July 04, 2024

Globe Life FieldArlington

Over 4.5 (F5)-125

SD +120

1.2u

M.Machado o0.5 RBI+130

1.3u

TEX -140

$1.40

TEX -145 (F5)

$1.00

A.Mazur o2.5 Earned Runs-135

0.74u

Under 9-115

J.Gray u15.5 Outs-102

0.98u

Over 4.5 (F5)-130

Mazur -5.8 K-BB%, 5.07 xERA only estimator below six! Gray 83 Stuff+, just a 14.19 K% since IL return, up to 9.8% Barrels/BBE, all non-FIP estimators > 3.77 ERA - LHBs > .360 wOBA & xwOBA v Gray, .400 v Mazur - SDP 108/123/152 wRC+ Rd/v RHP/L7 days

Over 9-115

0.87u

Featured Insight
Padres left-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB. Rangers RPs have a strikeout rate of just 16% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 29 of Rangers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	86-76	46-35	40-41	39-42	46-30
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	71-89-2	29-51-1	42-38-1	34-46-1	36-39-1
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	81-81	48-33	33-48	49-32	30-46
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 3rd	SD	W 7-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TEX -101
Jun 30th	@BAL	W 11-2	+1.5 W	O 9	TEX +142
Jun 29th	@BAL	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 9	BAL +140
Jun 28th	@BAL	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL -101
Jun 27th	@BAL	L 2-11	+1.5 L	O 7.5	BAL +165

Jordan Montgomery
P
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Cody Bradford
P
Bradford is out with elbow
Out

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Griffin Canning
P
Canning is out with achilles
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Mazur, P	74	4	4	4
LY.Matsui, P	24	1.1	4	0
LA.Morejon, P	16	1.2	1	0
RJ.Estrada, P	10	0.2	2	0
RR.Suarez, P	14	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	1-5	0	0	1
2J.Profar, LF	2-4	1	0	0
2T.Wade, LF	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	1-5	1	1	2
5D.Solano, DH	2-5	1	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	2-5	0	0	1
7D.Peralta, RF	1-4	1	1	2
7B.Johnson, RF	0-1	0	0	0
8H.Kim, SS	1-3	1	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Gray, P	77	4	2	3
RJ.Leclerc, P	30	1.1	2	1
LJ.Latz, P	11	0.1	0	0
RD.Dunning, P	58	2.1	3	2
RK.Yates, P	15	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	0-5	1	0
2C.Seager, SS	1-4	1	1
3J.Smith, 3B	1-4	0	1
4A.Garcia, DH	1-4	0	0
5W.Langford, LF	1-3	1	0
6N.Lowe, 1B	2-4	0	0
7J.Heim, C	1-3	1	1
8T.Jankowski, RF	1-2	0	0
8D.Hill, PH	0-2	0	0
8D.Hill, RF	0-2	0	0
9L.Taveras, CF	1-3	0	1