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Diamondbacks vs Orioles Predictions, Pick, Odds: Minion’s MLB Same-Game Parlay Playbook — 4/14

Diamondbacks vs Orioles Predictions, Pick, Odds: Minion’s MLB Same-Game Parlay Playbook — 4/14 article feature image
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Apr 8, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Baltimore Orioles first baseman Pete Alonso (25) scores against the Chicago White Sox during the sixth inning at Rate Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-Imagn Images

The Diamondbacks are set to square off with the Orioles on Tuesday, April 14, in the second of a three-game set at Camden Yards in Baltimore. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. You can stream the game live on ARID.

The Orioles are -149 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The Diamondbacks are +123 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.

Read on for my Diamondbacks vs Orioles predictions and MLB parlay picks.

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Diamondbacks vs Orioles Predictions, Pick

  • Trevor Rogers Under 2.5 Earned Runs
  • Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases

Parlay Odds: +240 (bet365)

Diamondbacks vs Orioles Odds

Diamondbacks Logo
Tuesday, Apr 14
6:35 p.m. ET
ARID
Orioles Logo
Diamondbacks Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-171
8.5
-118o / -102u
+123
Orioles Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+141
8.5
-118o / -102u
-149
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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Diamondbacks vs Orioles Predictions, Pick: Same-Game Parlay

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Trevor Rogers Under 2.5 Earned Runs

We are in for a great pitching matchup on Tuesday night as Orioles’ Ace Trevor Rogers is set to take the bump after an impressive start to his 2026 campaign. Baltimore’s left-hander has posted a 1.89 ERA over his first three starts to the year, also recording an impressive 1.05 WHIP.

37-year-old veteran Merril Kelly takes the mound for the visiting Diamondbacks in his first start of the year after being placed on the 15-game IL prior to Opening Day.

Arizona has been red-hot on its extended road trip, scoring over five runs per game on average throughout its seven contests thus far.

That said, Rogers has been dominant against this D-Backs lineup.

I expect him to continue that dominance on Tuesday.

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Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases

While Diamondbacks’ righty Merrill Kelly has been largely dominant against the rest of this O’s lineup — retiring the other 13 batters he has faced — Alonso is the only one who has gotten the best of Arizona’s right-hander.

In 19 career at-bats against Kelly, Polar Pete has five hits, including three homers. Kelly struck out Alonso just once throughout the span.

Kelly had a stellar 2025 campaign, concluding his season with a 3.52 ERA. But he is coming off a serious nerve injury, which should undoubtedly impact his first outing of the 2026 season.

SGP Picks:

  • Trevor Rogers Under 2.5 Earned Runs
  • Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases

Parlay Odds: +240 (bet365)

Playbook
Author Profile
About the Author

Ryan graduated from Providence College in 2016 with Bachelor Degrees in Business Economics & Mathematics. It was at Providence where Ryan really first found his passion for sports betting. For a lifelong sports fan with a knack for statistical analysis, he was instantly drawn to the fundamentals of the industry, specifically how sports betting markets functioned and fluctuated. In what primarily started as a recreational hobby, Ryan began studying the ins-and-outs of sports betting markets on a daily basis. He took to Twitter (now X), where he amassed a following for writing a sports betting blog that provided statistical analysis behind his wagers. In spite of seeking employment opportunities elsewhere post graduation, Ryan continued to follow his passion for the statistical analysis of sports betting wagers, eventually deciding to pursue a career in the sports betting industry.

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