The Los Angeles Angels host the Minnesota Twins on September 17, 2026. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on ABTV.
The Twins are favored by -134 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Angels are +114 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Twins vs Angels prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Twins vs Angels Prediction
- Twins vs Angels Pick: Angels (+114, 0.5u | Bet to +105)
My Twins vs Angels best bet is on Los Angeles to win outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page, and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Twins vs Angels Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +132 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | -134 |
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -160 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | +114 |
- Twins vs Angels moneyline: Twins -134, Angels +114
- Twins vs Angels over/under: 7.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Twins vs Angels spread: Twins -1.5 (+132), Angels +1.5 (-160)
Twins vs Angels Probable Pitchers
| Taj Bradley (RHP, MIN) | Stat | Walbert Urena (RHP, LAA) |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | W-L | 9-10 |
| 2.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.3 |
| 3.81 / 3.99 | ERA / xERA | 2.88 / 3.41 |
| 3.99 / 3.89 | FIP / xFIP | 3.68 / 4.06 |
| 16.9 | K-BB% | 11.0 |
| 35.0 | GB% | 54.7 |
| .272 | BABIP | .258 |
| 110 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 91 | Location+ | 102 |
Twins vs Angels MLB Betting Preview, Prediction
Taj Bradley has solidified himself in the Twins rotation, posting a strong season with a 27.3 K%, but still with a few too many walks (10.3%) and too much hard contact (9.3% Barrels/BBE, 45.2% hard-hit%).
Nevertheless, his 3.81 ERA is just barely below estimators ranging from a 3.88 SIERA to a 4.46 Bot ERA (100 Pitching+). With only a 4.28 dERA also otherwise being above four, it’s been an encouraging year.
Bradley will have a very enviable matchup against an awful Angels offense with the projected lineup averaging a mere 85 wRC+ against RHP, 80 wRC+ at home and only a marginally higher 92 wRC+ over the last month.
The lineup is more balanced than it’s been in years, but that hardly matters with batters from either side of the plate between a .298 and .312 wOBA and xwOBA against Bradley this year. Plus, the only quality bat they’ve added has been Wade Meckler, who’s 130 wRC+ against RHP (135 wRC+ L30 days) and comes with just a .100 ISO.
The defense behind Bradley, when he’s not striking batters out, is hardly supportive, with Thursday’s unit projected to be worth -21 FRV on the year.
The Minnesota bullpen has improved with some deadline acquisitions and sits in the middle of the league with a 4.11 FIP, 4.20 xFIP, and 3.74 SIERA over the last 30 days. BARTOLO only ranks them 24th, but there’s also the fact that they had to use six relievers in a 13-inning game against the Yankees on Wednesday after having to cover 3.2 innings on Tuesday too.
Walbert Urena’s 2.88 ERA is unsustainable. Seven, or 13.7%, of his runs have been unearned. Six of his seven unearned runs came in a relief appearance before his first start. As a starter, he has a probably unsustainable 79.4 LOB% with just a .251 BABIP.
Urena has walked 11.6% of batters faced, but with a 54.7 GB%, he can erase a lot of those problems. He’s struck out batters at a decent rate (22.6%) and has been very productive at the point of contact (5.4% Barrels/BBE, 36.4% hard-hit%).
Ironically, Urena’s contact neutral estimators (SIERA, xFIP) are a bit higher than Bradley’s numbers, but his contact inclusive ones (FIP, xERA) are that much better with slightly better pitch modeling too (4.29 Bot ERA, 104 Pitching+).
The latter measure favors his two most frequently thrown pitches, his sinker (32.3%, 114 P+) and changeup (34.1%, 116 P+), two predominantly ground ball pitches.
This leads me to rate these pitchers just about even from a run prevention standpoint.
Urena will certainly have the more difficult matchup against a projected Minnesota lineup averaging a 105 wRC+ against RHP and 97 wRC+ on the road, but just a 90 wRC+ over the last 30 days.
However, Urena has held RHBs below a .270 wOBA and xwOBA this season, and the Twins have just Kody Clemens and Trevor Larnach from the left-hand side as names you’d recognize. Walker Jenkins is a decent prospect, but his 41 wRC+ against RHP isn’t scaring anyone yet.
By accumulating a combined 1 FRV, the Angels project a much better defense than the Twins, but the big surprise has been the bullpen. They’ve been producing top-of-the-league estimators for quite a while now, ranking 3rd in the league with a 3.06 FIP, 3.80 xFIP, and 3.52 SIERA over the last month. Even BARTOLO has them up to a respectable 16th now.
The problem has been a collective .352 BABIP over the last month and .322 since the All-Star break.
The only real edge for the Twins here is offense, which I put between 10 and 15 points of wRC+.
The unrecognized bullpen edge, which may include an overworked Minnesota unit, is the difference for me in a game where I have the home team just barely favored.
Pick: Angels (+114, FanDuel, 0.5u | Bet to +105)
