The New York Mets host the Philadelphia Phillies on September 17, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on FOX.
The Mets are favored by -135 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Phillies are +115 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Phillies vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Mets Prediction
- Phillies vs Mets Pick: Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits (+190)
Our Phillies vs Mets best bet is Bo Bichette to record over 1.5 hits. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Phillies vs Mets Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -185 | 8 -115o / -105u | +115 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 8 -115o / -105u | -135 |
- Phillies vs Mets moneyline: Phillies +115, Mets -135
- Phillies vs Mets over/under: 8 (-115o / -105u)
- Phillies vs Mets spread: Mets -1.5 (+155), Phillies +1.5 (-185)
Phillies vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| Aaron Nola (RHP, PHI) | Stat | Nolan McLean (RHP, NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-10 | W-L | 11-9 |
| 1.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.1 |
| 4.69/4.09 | ERA / xERA | 3.24/3.72 |
| 4.85/3.89 | FIP / xFIP | 3.67/3.66 |
| 15.9% | K-BB% | 17.0% |
| 39.9% | GB% | 44.8% |
| .304 | BABIP | .274 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 104 | Location+ | 95 |
Phillies vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
An intriguing National League East matchup takes center stage on Thursday, as the Philadelphia Phillies (84-68) travel to Queens to face the New York Mets (69-83).
Philadelphia sends veteran right-hander Aaron Nola to the mound, offering a dependable, deep-pitching presence that holds strong value on the road moneyline.
New York counters with right-hander Nolan McLean, but the Mets have struggled consistently as home favorites all season.
While Philadelphia's motivation stems from a tense postseason race compared to New York playing out the string, individual highlights like Bo Bichette remain a key focal point for the Mets at the plate.
Phillies vs Mets Pick, Betting Analysis
Even in a tough team situational spot for New York, Action PRO projects strong value on Bo Bichette's individual props, projecting him to clear his baseline target of 1.5 hits.
Comparing these projections against current line reveals a solid 9.8% edge on the over, earning the Over 1.5 Hits prop an A rating within internal projection systems.
Recent performance trends strongly support this projection, as Bichette enters the night swinging a scorching bat.
He has recorded multiple hits in three of his previous four games, highlighted by a dominant three-hit performance on September 15. Expect his hot streak to continue at the plate.
Pick: Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits (+190)
