The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Milwaukee Brewers on September 17, 2026. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet PT.
The Brewers are favored by -140 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Pirates are +120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Brewers vs Pirates prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Brewers vs Pirates Prediction
- Brewers vs Pirates Pick: Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Hits (+160)
Our Brewers vs Pirates best bet is on Jackson Chourio to record two or more hits today. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page, and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Brewers vs Pirates Odds
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +120 | 9 -105o / -115u | -140 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -140 | 9 -105o / -115u | +120 |
- Brewers vs Pirates moneyline: Brewers -140, Pirates +120
- Brewers vs Pirates over/under: 9 (-105o / -115u)
- Brewers vs Pirates spread: Brewers -1.5 (+120), Pirates +1.5 (-140)
Brewers vs Pirates Probable Pitchers
| Kyle Harrison (LHP, MIL) | Stat | Wilber Dotel (RHP, PIT) |
|---|---|---|
| 10-4 | W-L | 1-5 |
| 1.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.6 |
| 3.98 / 3.85 | ERA / xERA | 4.84 / 3.75 |
| 4.03 / 3.32 | FIP / xFIP | 2.98 / 3.62 |
| 21.3 | K-BB% | 14.7 |
| 35.5 | GB% | 46.9 |
| .324 | BABIP | .327 |
| 105 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 112 | Location+ | 100 |
Brewers vs Pirates MLB Betting Preview, Prediction
Action PRO projects Jackson Chourio for 1.67 hits on Thursday against the Pirates, giving us a nice 11.2% edge when compared to his current prop line of over/under 1.5, which is good enough to tag the over with a B grade in our system.
The Brewers left fielder has a career-best .288 average this season and is hitting .338 in September.
He'll be facing Wilber Dotel, a pitcher with a 1.44 WHIP and a .327 BABIP.
Chourio recently had a terrific three-game multi-hit streak, with 11 hits combined across the three contests: four in two of them and three in the other.
At a great value, let's back him to get a couple today against Pittsburgh.
Pick: Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Hits (+160, bet365)
