The San Francisco Giants host the Athletics on May 17, 2025. First pitch from Oracle Park is scheduled for 9:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on NBCS-CA.
Find my MLB betting preview and Athletics vs Giants prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Athletics vs Giants Prediction
- Athletics vs Giants Picks: Giants ML (-155 or better)
My Athletics vs Giants best bet is on the Giants ML. Check our live MLB odds page to find the best odds.
Athletics vs Giants Odds
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -170 | 8 -115o / -105u | +130 |
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +142 | 8 -115o / -105u | -155 |
Athletics vs Giants Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Luis Severino (ATH) | Stat | RHP Landon Roupp (SFG) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | W-L | 2-3 |
| 1.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 4.70 / 4.53 | ERA /xERA | 4.95 / 3.42 |
| 3.76 / 4.19 | FIP / xFIP | 4.01 / 3.58 |
| 1.32 | WHIP | 1.50 |
| 9.1 | K-BB% | 15.7 |
| 40.5 | GB% | 45.4 |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 101 |
| 95 | Location+ | 109 |
Kenny Ducey’s Athletics vs Giants Preview
Athletics Betting Preview: Severino's Slippery Slope
It's been a brutal start to Luis Severino's first season away from the New York Mets' pitching factory.
After finding success in pitching to ground balls around waning strikeout numbers, salvaging his career with a 3.88 xERA in 31 starts, the right-hander has gone backwards in almost every way.
Severino's rate of contact on the ground has fallen, and so have his weak strikeout numbers. His control is still a liability with an 8.2% walk rate, and he's also pitched to a terrible 43.3% hard-hit rate.
All of this has amounted to a 55-point jump in his Expected Batting Average, which is up to .295, and while barrels and home runs haven't been a huge issue, he's up just as high in Expected Slugging at .427.
Hitters are getting the ball back into play against Severino, with authority, and that's making life difficult on an already-poor Athletics defense that ranks dead last in Outs Above Average.
The saving grace here is that the Athletics have remained steady at the plate, ranking 11th in wRC+ in the past two weeks. While they continue to avoid walks by swinging at a bunch of pitches, they've married a low 20.7% strikeout rate with a solid .171 Isolated Power and a .269 batting average.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview: Roupp on the Rise
Against all odds, Landon Roupp has been pretty good this year.
What looked to be a mistake by the Giants' staff, which chose to award a starting role to Roupp out of camp over Hayden Birdsong, has turned into a budding success story.
The righty may be suffering through some lackluster results, but things look much better under the hood. His 3.42 xERA has been driven by an elite 30.3% hard-hit rate and good 46.7% ground-ball rate, meeting perfectly average strikeout and walk numbers to make for a solid profile.
Roupp relies heavily on his curveball and sinker to induce friendly contact, and the good news is that the Athletics rank 18th in xBA to sinkers and 20th against curveballs.
Offensively, things have been just as good for San Francisco, which sits one spot ahead of the Athletics in wRC+ over the last 14 days. It has boasted nearly as much power and more walks, though its 22.6% strikeout rate is a detractor.
Athletics vs Giants Prediction, Betting Analysis
The good news for the Giants, who strike out far too often, is that Severino hardly strikes out many batters these days.
They're hitting for plenty of power, too, and can exploit his occasionally spotty control with a patient eye to remain steady at the plate.
Roupp, too, is due for some positive regression. While "due" doesn't always do it, this is a good matchup.
Keeping the ball on the ground against the Athletics is paramount to success, given their menacing power bats, and his heavy dose of curveballs and sinkers should do the job against a club that has struggled mightily against those offerings.
He's throwing those over 80% of the time, so it's worth handicapping with those pitches in mind.
San Francisco is a bit undervalued on Saturday.
Pick: Giants ML (-155 or better)
