The St. Louis Cardinals host the Cincinnati Reds on July 26, 2026. First pitch from Busch Stadium is scheduled for 2:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CARD.
The Cardinals are favored by +116 on the moneyline and by 1.5 on the run line. The Reds are +116 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Reds vs Cardinals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction
- Reds vs Cardinals Pick: Under 8.5
My Reds vs Cardinals best bet is a system-backed pick on game totals. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Cardinals Odds
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -188 | 8.5 -118o / -104u | +116 |
| Cardinals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 8.5 -118o / -104u | -136 |
- Reds vs Cardinals moneyline: Reds +116, Cardinals -136
- Reds vs Cardinals over/under: 8.5 (-118 / -104)
- Reds vs Cardinals spread: Reds +1.5 (-188), Cardinals -1.5 (+155)
Reds vs Cardinals Probable Pitchers
| LHP Andrew Abbott (CIN) | Stat | RHP Kyle Leahy (STL) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-6 | W-L | 7-4 |
| 1.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.3 |
| 3.89 / 4.62 | ERA / xERA | 3.59 / 5.21 |
| 4.71 / 4.74 | FIP / xFIP | 4.01 / 4.12 |
| 8.3% | K-BB% | 11.3% |
| 41.3% | GB% | 45.1% |
| .274 | BABIP | .306 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 100 | Location+ | 106 |
Reds vs Cardinals MLB Betting Preview
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds come into this matchup with a 48-55 record and are 26-27 on the road. Andrew Abbott has been solid lately, posting a 3.94 ERA with 17 strikeouts and five walks over his last three appearances.
Abbott is no stranger to the Cardinals, as this will be his 10th career start against St. Louis — the most he has made against any opponent. He’ll look to use that experience to give Cincinnati a strong outing on the road.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The Cardinals, meanwhile, are 53-51 on the season and 27-28 at home. Kyle Leahy has been one of their best pitchers lately, allowing just seven hits while posting a 0.64 ERA and 12 strikeouts over his last three appearances.
Leahy is really finding his rhythm in his first full season in the rotation, carrying an incredible 0.71 ERA across his last five starts. If he keeps pitching at that level, the Cardinals could be in a strong position to defend home field.
Reds vs Cardinals Pick, Betting Analysis
This system bets the under in daytime games where solid visiting arms suppress scoring and the home offense is steady but not explosive: Day games often play slower due to sun, shadows, and shorter rest.
Visitor Starting Pitchers filters identify efficient pitchers capable of limiting damage without elite notoriety.
Home team hit rate between 7.81 and 8.24 ensures average offensive output — enough to avoid “over” volatility but not dominate.
Regular-season-only avoids erratic postseason scoring. Combined with lower totals and calm game tempos, this approach isolates a pocket where public expectations may overshoot actual output.
Pick: Under 8.5
