Dodgers vs. Giants MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Julio Urias and Los Angeles Will Avoid the Sweep (Sunday, June 12)
Norm Hall/Getty Images. Pictured: Julio Urías.
Dodgers vs. Giants Odds
|Time||4:05 p.m. ET|
|Odds via PointsBet. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.|
After dropping two of three at home to the Rockies earlier in the week, the Giants have bounced back with consecutive wins over the rival Dodgers.
Gabe Kaplan will hand the ball to lefty Carlos Rodon Sunday as San Francisco is looking to finish off the series sweep.
Los Angeles will counter with Julio Urias, who dominated the Giants in early May, pitching six innings and allowing just four hits with no earned runs.
Will Urias keep the Giants bats in check Sunday?
Will Urias and the Dodgers Avoid the Sweep?
Taking away a dreadful pair of outings to start the season, Urias has been in tremendous form, pitching to an era of 2.41 in 56 innings.
Urias’ underlying metrics do suggest some regression is coming as he has pitched to a 3.50 xERA and has seen his xwOBA rise over the last 100 PA’s.
Urias has an average spin rate of 2502 RPM on fastballs since the start of last season and continues to do a great job of limiting hard hits while walking few batters.
His curveball has consistently been an excellent tool to put away batters, and he faces a Giants team which has struggled to a -10.7 pitch value against the curveball this season Sunday.
The Dodgers have also hit left-handed pitching very effectively, with a 110 wRC+ and a .323 wOBA overall.
Rodon and the Giants Look to Keep Rolling
San Francisco has hit left-handed pitching effectively with a 112 wRC+ and .325 wOBA in 564 PA’s this season.
Urias has consistently given this Giants lineup fits of late as he owns a 3-0 record and 1.23 ERA over his last five starts vs. the Giants. He has pitched to an ERA of just 2.38 in his career vs the Giants.
Rodon has also been strong and pitched to an xERA of 3.06 in 59 innings this season and is offering a strong follow up to last season’s spectacular campaign.
Urias has shown strong form of late, and it’s quite reasonable to think he can continue his excellent results against the Giants in this spot.
The Dodgers’ powerhouse lineup will still likely manage some run support against Rodon, and I think it’s quite reasonable to think we will see Urias leave in line for the win Sunday.
With most of the Dodgers’ top arms ready to go out of the pen, I’ll happily play the Dodgers game line at -130 and back their edge at the plate over the full contest as opposed to just the first five innings. I see value backing the Dodgers down to -140.
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -130