The New York Mets host the Los Angeles Angels on July 23, 2025. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on SNY.
Find my MLB betting preview and Angels vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Angels vs Mets Prediction
- Angels vs Mets pick: Under 8.5
My Angels vs Mets best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Angels vs Mets Odds
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -137 | 8.5 -120o / -101u | +148 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +113 | 8.5 -120o / -101u | -181 |
Angels vs Mets Projected Starting Pitchers
| Brock Burke (LAA) | Stat | Sean Manaea (NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | W-L | 0-1 |
| 0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 3.38 / 3.95 | ERA /xERA | 2.45 / 2.30 |
| 4.29 / 4.08 | FIP / xFIP | 2.55 / 1.99 |
| 1.35 | WHIP | 1.09 |
| 14 | K-BB% | 35.5 |
| 51.8 | GB% | 35.7 |
| 100 | Stuff+ | 101 |
| 97 | Location+ | 104 |
Angels vs Mets Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Mets won the first two games of this series, scoring seven and three runs, respectively, in the process.
The total went over on Monday and under on Tuesday. Yesterday's affair didn't even feature strong starting pitching, as Kyle Hendricks and Frankie Montas combined to give up all five runs.
It was the bullpens that came through, though, surrendering zero earned runs while not overworking themselves for the final game of this series.
That means Brock Burke and Sean Manaea don't have to go the distance today, meaning this under is in play.
But the specific reason the under is being targeted is an Evan Abrams system is lighting up.
The "Silent Sharp Unders" targets regular-season MLB games where both teams are performing well, yet the total has quietly dropped from open to close.
These are games featuring competent, winning teams with recent success, stable weather conditions and closing totals in a standard scoring range.
Despite both teams showing strength, the market subtly favors the under likely due to matchup specifics, pitching or pace factors.
By following this subtle signal — when the public eye is more focused on win streaks rather than totals — this system finds value in betting against inflated scoring expectations.
Pick: Under 8.5
Moneyline
There's no play on the moneyline in this Angels vs. Mets afternoon affair.
Run Line (Spread)
There's also no play on the run line.
Over/Under
Target the under based on the system mentioned above.
