The New York Yankees host the Los Angeles Angels on April 15, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on Amazon Prime Video.
The Yankees are favored by -190 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Angels are +160 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Angels vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Angels vs Yankees Prediction
- Angels vs Yankees Pick: Over 9.5 (-120)
My Angels vs Yankees best bet is on the over total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Angels vs Yankees Odds
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -125 | 9.5 -120o / -102u | +160 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +104 | 9.5 -120o / -102u | -190 |
- Angels vs Yankees spread: Yankees -1.5 (+104), Angels +1.5 (-125)
- Angels vs Yankees over/under: 9.5 (-120o/ -102u)
- Angels vs Yankees moneyline: Angels +160, Yankees -190
Angels vs Yankees Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Jack Kochanowicz (LAA) | Stat | RHP Luis Gil (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | W-L | 0-1 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.1 |
| 3.24/6.07 | ERA /xERA | 6.75/5.58 |
| 3.70/5.02 | FIP / xFIP | 8.41/6.88 |
| 1.26 | WHIP | 1.50 |
| 1.4% | K-BB% | -5.3% |
| 55.1% | GB% | 50.0% |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 97 | Location+ | 80 |
Angels vs Yankees Betting Preview, Pick
My model shows value on the over for the third consecutive game in the Bronx, in arguably the best weather conditions that park has had over the past few days (and also this season), with temperatures north of 80 degrees at first pitch, and double-digit wind speeds blowing out to left-center field (temperatures were in the mid to low seventies on both Monday and Tuesday).
Luis Gil has not looked right since suffering a lat strain in 2025 spring training. Gil posted a 3.76 xERA, 4.36 xFIP, and 14.8% K-BB%, with a 106 Stuff+ rating and 102 Pitching+ rating en route to the 2024 AL Rookie of the Year award. Since returning from the IL late last season, however, Gil has posted a 4.98 xERA and 4.73 xFIP, with an abysmal 43:36 strikeout-to-walk ratio across 61 innings (2.7% K-BB%).
Despite losing just one tick of velicity (fastball down from 96.6 to 95.2 mph), Gil's Stuff+ has fallen from 106 to 99, and his botERA has climbed a full run, from 4.24 to 5.24. His swinging strike rate has also decreased from 11.2% career to 8.2% over that span, and Gil, like all pitchers, is getting squeezed more in the ABS era.
Jack Kochanowicz has a high groundball rate (53.9% career), but he has graded out among the worst starting pitchers in the majors over the past few seasons (37 starts, 5.64 xERA, 4.93 xFIP, 3.5% K-BB%). As I have highlighted this week, he has arguably the worst defensive team playing behind him (Angels rank 29th in my model for Wednesday), alongside one of the two or three worst bullpens in baseball to bail him out of any potential trouble.
Drew Pomeranz (projected 4.11 weighted FIP) is the only above-average arm in the Angels' bullpen; the Yankees have five such relievers, and the better bullpen overall, but I also have half of their arms marked as fatigued for Wednesday, narrowing the projected gap between the two units and increasing the need for Gil to go as deep as he can in this game.
Bet Over 9.5 up to -120.
Pick: Over 9.5 (-120)
