Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Picks, Predictions: Does Arizona Have Value As Road Dog? (August 6)

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Picks, Predictions: Does Arizona Have Value As Road Dog? (August 6) article feature image
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Norm Hall/Getty Images. Pictured: Carson Kelly, center, of the Arizona Diamondbacks celebrates with teammates Asdrubal Cabrera, left, and David Peralta.

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks square off against the San Diego Padres in Friday's MLB showdown.
  • Sharp betting action has come in on the Diamondbacks, who are sizable underdogs.
  • Michael Walton takes a look at the key angles below and provides more details on this contest.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres

Diamondbacks Odds +182
Padres Odds -225
Over/Under 8.5
Time 10:10 p.m. ET
TV MLB Network

The San Diego Padres had a disappointing trade deadline, coming away with only Adam Frazier after having their name in the conversation for most of the starting pitching on the market.

Nonetheless, Frazier will provide some solid versatility to a team that has obvious World Series aspirations. San Diego has lost three of its last five games and looks to get back on track in Friday’s showdown.

Arizona, which has been firmly entrenched in last place in the NL West, are playing like that type of team, losing four of its last five games. The Diamondbacks’ last win was a 3-1 victory over the Giants in which Madison Bumgarner pitched 7.0 innings, giving up only one earned run in the process.

Diamondbacks pitcher Caleb Smith obviously doesn’t inspire the type of confidence Bumgarner does on the mound, but luckily for Arizona, neither does young Padres starter Ryan Weathers.

The Padres are likely to struggle to put together any big runs without Fernando Tatis Jr., who currently is on the injured list with an ailing shoulder.  That means their starting pitching has to be lights-out down the stretch.

The 21-year-old Weathers has a 3.65 ERA, but a much less impressive 4.89 ERA at home. There is reason to believe Carson Kelly (.806 OPS), Asdrubal Cabrera (37 RBI) and the others can get after San Diego’s pitching early and often. Let’s take a closer look at in our latest MLB PRO Report.

MLB Picks: Diamondbacks vs. Padres

Sharp Action

The line for the Diamondbacks-Padres game opened up at Arizona +215 odds before steam moved this line down to +188 around 10 a.m. ET on Friday and then settled at a consensus of +190 (tracked by two Action Labs Bet Signals).

PRO Systems

The Padres-Diamondbacks game fits neatly into The Action Network’s “Visiting Dogs vs. Better Divisional Opponent PRO System,” which has a 38% win rate and a 4% Return On Investment (ROI).

Model Projections

The Action Network’s MLB power ratings make the moneyline Arizona (+154).

Top Experts

One of The Action Network’s top MLB experts is betting on the Diamondbacks.

PRO Report Pick: Diamondbacks +182 (+190 at Bet365)

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