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MLB Home Run Picks Today: Predictions, Props for Red Sox vs Rays, Cubs vs Reds, Yankees vs Diamondbacks, More for Saturday, September 19

MLB Home Run Picks Today: Predictions, Props for Red Sox vs Rays, Cubs vs Reds, Yankees vs Diamondbacks, More for Saturday, September 19 article feature image
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Aaron Doster-Imagn Images. Pictured: Cubs 3B Alex Bregman

It's college football Saturday, but you should also check out some of these bangers on the MLB slate.

I'm bringing you picks for six matchups, including Red Sox vs. Rays (4:10 p.m ET), Cubs vs. Reds (6:40 p.m ET), and Yankees vs. Diamondbacks (8:10 p.m. ET).

Read on for my 6 MLB Home Run Picks Today.


MLB Home Run Picks Today

In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article, and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.

GameTime (ET)Pick
Milwaukee Brewers LogoBaltimore Orioles Logo
4:05 PM
Boston Red Sox LogoTampa Bay Rays Logo
4:10 PM
Oakland Athletics LogoCleveland Guardians Logo
6:10 PM
Chicago Cubs LogoCincinnati Reds Logo
6:40 PM
Kansas City Royals LogoPittsburgh Pirates Logo
6:40 PM
New York Yankees LogoArizona Diamondbacks Logo
8:10 PM
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Brewers vs Orioles Prediction, Pick

Milwaukee Brewers Logo
Saturday, Sept. 19
4:05 PM ET
MLB.TV
Baltimore Orioles Logo
Pete Alonso Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Brewers starter Robert Gasser has allowed an above-average number of home runs to righties this season, sitting at 1.67 HR/9.

The weather is slightly below average for power, but Pete Alonso has been on a complete tear recently, and I have the true odds for the Orioles 1B at around +300.

Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run



Red Sox vs Rays Prediction, Pick

Boston Red Sox Logo
Saturday, Sept. 19
4:10 PM ET
MLB.TV
Tampa Bay Rays Logo
Wilyer Abreu Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Rays SP Freddy Peralta has been hit hard by lefty power this season, allowing a 1.51 HR/9.

Wilyer Abreu hasn't been great this month after going on a tear in July and August, but the underlying fly-ball and hard-contact numbers are still good.

I have the true odds on the Red Sox RF at around +400.

Pick: Wilyer Abreu Home Run



Athletics vs Guardians Prediction, Pick

Oakland Athletics Logo
Saturday, Sept. 19
6:10 PM ET
MLB.TV
Cleveland Guardians Logo
Jo Adell Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Athletics starter Jacob Lopez has been hammered by righty power this season, allowing a massive 1.97 HR/9.

I have the true odds on Guardians RF Jo Adell at around +375.

Pick: Jo Adell Home Run



Cubs vs Reds Prediction, Pick

Chicago Cubs Logo
Saturday, Sept. 19
6:40 PM ET
MLB.TV
Cincinnati Reds Logo
Alex Bregman Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Reds SP Nick Lodolo has been a great matchup for righty power this season, allowing a 1.53 HR/9.

The ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and I have the true odds on Cubs 3B Alex Bregman at around +420.

Pick: Alex Bregman Home Run



Royals vs Pirates Prediction, Pick

Kansas City Royals Logo
Saturday, Sept. 19
6:40 PM ET
MLB.TV
Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
Oneil Cruz Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Royals starter Noah Cameron is a lefty, but he's had reverse splits when it comes to power, allowing a 1.18 HR/9, and he's due for some negative regression.

He's allowing above-average fly balls, and Oneil Cruz has one of the highest bat speeds in the league.

I have the true odds on the Pirates CF at around +420.

Pick: Oneil Cruz Home Run



Yankees vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Pick

New York Yankees Logo
Saturday, Sept. 19
8:10 PM ET
YES
Arizona Diamondbacks Logo
Ben Rice Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Diamondbacks SP Brandon Pfaadt is a great matchup for lefty power, allowing a 1.61 HR/9.

While the ballpark is a downgrade for Ben Rice, the odds more than make up for it.

I have the true odds on the Yankees DH at around +420.

Pick: Ben Rice Home Run



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About the Author
Grant NeifferVerified Action Expert

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