For Sunday, August 31, I'm on four MLB home run props: Brice Turang, Juan Soto, Mookie Betts and Teoscar Hernandez.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Sunday.
Editor's Note: A home run parlay is not the author's formal recommendation. These home run picks have value as straight bets.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Sunday, August 31
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 1:37 p.m. | |
| 1:40 p.m. | |
| 4:10 p.m. | |
| 4:10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for August 31
Brice Turang (+900)
at Blue Jays (SP: RHP Max Scherzer)
I'm going hard on the Brewers lefties, as the spot vs. Max Scherzer is a great one.
Scherzer isn't the same pitcher he used to be, and he's been crushed by lefty power, allowing a massive 2.21 HR/9 to go along with a fly-ball rate near 60%.
I have the true odds on Brice Turang around +725.
Juan Soto (+400)
vs Marlins (SP: RHP Sandy Alcantara)
Juan Soto has been on a tear recently, hitting three home runs in the last two games.
The matchup against Sandy Alcantara is an above-average one for lefty power, and the weather over in New York is neutral.
I have the true odds on Soto around +350.
Mookie Betts (+450)
vs Diamondbacks (SP: RHP Brandon Pfaadt)
I'm going hard on the Dodgers righties, as this spot is far too good. Brandon Pfaadt is a plus overall matchup for righties, giving up a 1.4 HR/9.
The weather in Los Angeles is fantastic for hitting, with the wind blowing out at 6 MPH and temperatures in the 90s.
Mookie Betts is having an off year, but given the great spot, I have the true odds under +400.
Teoscar Hernandez (+375)
vs Diamondbacks (SP: RHP Brandon Pfaadt)
Another Dodgers righty I'm targeting is Teoscar Hernandez. As mentioned, there is great weather, and I like the matchup versus Pfaadt.
I generally don't put too much weight into home/road splits, but the Arizona starter has been one of the worst pitchers in the league on the road this season, giving up a massive 2.58 HR/9 on the road compared to 0.35 HR/9 at home.
I have the true odds on Hernandez under +300.
