For Tuesday, June 10, I'm on four MLB home run props: Mike Trout (against the Athletics), Fernando Tatis Jr. (against the Dodgers), Oneil Cruz (against the Marlins), and Willy Adames (against the Rockies).
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Tuesday night.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Tuesday, June 10
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 6:40 p.m. | |
| 8:40 p.m. | |
| 9:38 p.m. | |
| 9:40 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for June 10
Oneil Cruz (+440)
vs Marlins (SP: RHP Sandy Alcantara)
Oneil Cruz gets a matchup against the Marlins' Sandy Alcantara, which would have been a bad matchup in the past, but he's not the same pitcher this season.
Alcantara has struggled this season against lefties, giving up 1.73 HR/9.
Cruz probably has the most powerful bat in the league, and if he gets the ball up in the air, it has a decent chance of leaving the park.
I have the true odds here around +375, making this a great bet.
Willy Adames (+425)
at Rockies (SP: LHP Carson Palmquist)
Willy Adames hasn't been hitting a ton of bombs this season, but a large part of that is playing in San Francisco. He still has decent power numbers, and this spot is great.
We don't have a huge sample size of Rockies starter Carson Palmquist in the majors, but in the small sample size we do have, he's been crushed by righties, with a 2.00 HR/9 to go along with nearly a 50% fly-ball rate.
The weather should be great at Coors Field, with temps expected to be in the low-80s during game time, so the ball should be flying.
I have the true odds here around +375.
Mike Trout (+290)
vs. Athletics (SP: RHP Mitch Spence)
Mike Trout has been hammering the ball this season, and these odds are just a little low.
Trout gets a matchup against Athletics right-hander Mitch Spence, who has been a below-average matchup for righty power — but he grades out as a slightly above-average matchup.
I have the true odds here around +275.
Fernando Tatis (+420)
vs. Dodgers (SP: TBD)
We don't have confirmation on who the starting pitcher is going to be for the Dodgers, but as of now, it looks like it will be Matt Sauer.
We don't have a huge sample size of Sauer in the majors, but he's been crushed by righty power thus far and grades out as a plus matchup for righty power.
The humidity should be good in San Diego, and Kevin Roth's WeatherEdge tool has the game as a 22.6% increase to home runs, so the ball should be flying.
Tatis has been great this season, and given the good spot, I have the true odds here around +350.
