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MLB NRFI Odds, Picks: Bet Pablo Lopez & Erick Fedde to Keep First Inning Clean

MLB NRFI Odds, Picks: Bet Pablo Lopez & Erick Fedde to Keep First Inning Clean article feature image
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Mark Brown/Getty Images. Pictured: Pablo Lopez.

  • The Marlins face the Nationals in Wednesday night MLB action from the nation's capital.
  • The Marlins send Pablo Lopez to the mound, while the Nats counter with Erick Fedde.
  • Read on to see why Shayne Trail thinks we're in for a scoreless first inning.

Shayne Trail breaks down his favorite NRFI/YRFI bet of the day below, but you can follow all of his bets in the Action Network app.


Marlins vs. Nationals — No Runs First Inning (-115)

Matchup Marlins (Lopez) vs. Nationals (Fedde)
First Pitch 7:05 p.m. ET
Books Available FanDuel

On Wednesday, we look to take advantage of the two of the worst YRFI hitting teams in MLB while pairing them with two 3-0 2022 NRFI pitchers.

There are always a few gems on bad teams, and that’s exactly what Erick Fedde is. Since the 2021 season, he’s 24-6 to the NRFI. In this same time span, Fedde holds a 4-0 NRFI record against the Marlins.

Although the season is young, it’s been a promising start for Fedde. In his first three games, he held opponents hitless and has not allowed a walk against first-inning batters.

Fedde has also had success against some Marlins he has faced in the past:

  • Jesus Aguilar: 1-for-4
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr: 3-for-10
  • Jesus Sanchez: 2-for-7

On the other side is Pablo Lopez, who is 28-6 to the NRFI since 2020. In this same time span, he’s 13-2 to the NRFI on the road.

In his first three games, Lopez held opponents to a .182 batting average while allowing two hits and one walk against 12 first-inning batters. Like Fedde, Lopez has had NRFI success against his opponent, holding a 4-0 record against the Nationals since 2020.

Here’s how the Nationals hitters matchup against Lopez:

  • Cesar Hernandez: 2-for-8
  • Victor Robles: 1-for-12
  • Maikel Franco: 1-for-6

Now, the Nationals hitters are amongst the league’s worst in many batting categories. They’re tied for the 22nd in team batting average and 24th in home YRFI team in MLB.

These struggles can mainly being attributed to their top hitters. Juan Soto’s home batting average sits at just .184. Following him is Nelson Cruz, whose home batting average comes in at .154. Depending on the lineup we may also see Alcides Escobar, who holds the team’s worst home batting average — .097 in 31 at-bats.

Look for these bats to stay silent and these pitchers to have a textbook three up, three down first inning. Take the NRFI between the Marlins and Nationals.

As always six outs to glory…

Get all of Shayne Trail’s NRFI/YRFI bets instantly in The Action Network app.

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