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MLB PrizePicks Tuesday, Including Steven Kwan, Luis Arraez

MLB PrizePicks Tuesday, Including Steven Kwan, Luis Arraez article feature image

Photo by Lauren Leigh Bacho/Getty Images. Pictured: Steven Kwan (Guardians)

  • Tony Sartori has four MLB PrizePicks selections for Tuesday's games.
  • He's taking a look at two matchups in particular -- Nationals vs. Marlins and White Sox vs. Guardians.
  • Dive in below and formulate your PrizePicks parlay for Tuesday.

We have a stacked 15-game MLB slate on Tuesday, which means there are plenty of entries to sift through on PrizePicks.

A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different player squares to payout up to 10x your entry.

You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money if you do not nail every pick. A Power Play is all-or-nothing.

Here’s how I would approach Tuesday’s MLB slate.

What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player picks in which you combine two or more entries together.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Fantasy Score More Than 7.5

Editor’s Note: Jazz Chrisolm has been placed on the 10-day IL with turf toe

There’s a three-game NL East series set to get underway on Tuesday evening as the second-place Miami Marlins host the fifth-place Washington Nationals.

Slated to take the mound for Washington is right-hander Josiah Gray, who should be a good fade candidate in this matchup.

While Gray’s surface-level stats aren’t bad, we should be looking to sell high on the right-hander based on the larger sample size. This is only Gray’s third season in the league, but he’s never finished with an ERA south of five or an xERA lower than 4.25.

The first Marlins hitter to back in this contest is Jazz Chisholm Jr. Entering this series in tremendous form, Chisholm has flew past this number in three of his past four games, as he’s averaging 15.25 fantasy points per game over that stretch.

This trend is likely to continue against the right-handed Gray, considering that Chisholm’s splits, since 2021, jump by roughly 40% against right-handers (.262 BA, .489 SLG and .814 OPS).

Additionally, he’s always a massive threat to swipe a bag, as he currently ranks third in the league with 14.

Luis Arraez Fantasy Score More Than 6.5

In a play with some solid correlation, we’re also going to back the guy who hits two spots behind Chisholm in the batting order.

Luis Arraez is off to a monster start in 2023, leading the league with a spectacular .382 BA while boasting a terrific .471 SLG and .908 OPS.

His underlying metrics are also outstanding, as he ranks in the 78th percentile or higher in xwOBA, xBA and Whiff%.

Like Chisholm, Arraez thrives against right-handed pitching. Since 2021, his splits have taken a roughly 20% jump when facing right-handers (.328 BA, .429 SLG and .815 OPS).

If Gray’s regression starts to hit in this game, then Chisholm and Arraez should both be able to soar past these figures, especially considering they’re the two guys who anchor the top of the lineup.

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Steven Kwan Fantasy Score More Than 7

There’s a three-game AL Central series set to get underway with the fourth-place Chicago White Sox hosting the second-place Cleveland Guardians.

Slated to take the mound for Chicago is right-hander Lance Lynn, who should be a good fade candidate in this matchup.

Through eight starts, Lynn is 1-5 with a troubling 7.51 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. His underlying metrics suggest that positive regression is unlikely, as he ranks in the 23rd percentile or lower in xERA/xwOBA, xBA, xSLG and Barrel%.

Steven Kwan is the first Guardians hitter to back against him. While Kwan certainly isn’t known for his power, he has no issues getting on base.

Currently, he ranks in the 86th percentile in xBA.

Once on base, he’s a dangerous threat on the base paths, as he’s recorded nine stolen bags through 40 games.

There are numerous avenues for Kwan to surpass this number, especially in a lefty-versus-righty matchup. Since joining the league, Kwan’s splits jump by approximately 16% when facing right-handed pitching (.294 BA, .406 SLG and .785 OPS).

Jose Ramirez Fantasy Score More Than 7.5

The other Cleveland hitter to back in this contest is Jose Ramirez. If it wasn’t for Ramirez and Kwan, this offense would be the worst in the league.

Off to yet another strong start in 2023, Ramirez has posted a .285 BA, .457 SLG and .821 OPS while adding five stolen bases. His underlying metrics suggest that further positive regression could be likely.

This season, Ramirez boasts a .301 xBA, .480 xSLG and .362 xwOBA.

When facing right-handed pitching since 2021, he’s produced a dominating .284 BA, .542 SLG and .912 OPS.

Through 37 career plate appearances against Lynn, Ramirez has generated a .344 BA, .781 SLG and .497 wOBA with four homers.

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