I've got three more bangers for you on this fine Thursday, Sept. 10.
Read on for my MLB Home Run Picks today, including player props fro Rays vs Braves, Rangers vs Mariners, and Pirates vs White Sox.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| 12:15 PM | ||
| 4:10 PM | ||
| 7:40 PM | ||
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Rays vs Braves
Nick Martinez has been good this season, but there are few pitchers more due for negative regression than Martinez. He has only allowed a 1.12 HR/9 to lefties, but he's sitting at a 8.7% HR/FB rate and grades out as a plus matchup for lefty power.
Olson has been hammering the ball this season, and I have the true odds here around +300, making this a great bet.
Pick: Matt Olson Home Run
Rangers vs Mariners
This is a good soot, and these odds are way too high.
Logan Gilbert hasn't been great this season, and he's struggled heavily with righty power, allowing a high 1.73 HR/9.
This ballpark isn't great for power, but Burger has been in great form recently, with three bombs across the past three games.
I have the true odds here around +450, making this a great bet.
Pick: Jake Burger Home Run
Pirates vs White Sox
This spot is slightly above average, which makes these odds far too high.
Jared Jones has been an above-average matchup for righty power this season (1.36 HR/9) and in his career (1.43 HR/9).
The weather should be below average for hitting, but there is no way Vargas should be priced this high in an average spot.
I have the true odds around +500, making this a great bet.
Pick: Miguel Vargas Home Run







































