The New York Yankees host the Colorado Rockies on September 10, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on YES.
The Yankees are favored by -340 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rockies are +270 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rockies vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rockies vs Yankees Prediction
- Rockies vs Yankees Pick: Lean Rockies Moneyline (+300 or Better)
My Rockies vs Yankees best bet is on Colorado to win outright as massive underdogs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rockies vs Yankees Odds
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +120 | 8.5 -125o / 105u | +270 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -140 | 8.5 -125o / 105u | -340 |
- Rockies vs Yankees moneyline: Rockies +270, Yankees -340
- Rockies vs Yankees over/under: 8.5 (-125o / +105u)
- Rockies vs Yankees spread: Yankees -1.5 (-140), Rockies +1.5 (+120)
Rockies vs Yankees Probable Pitchers
| Ryan Feltner (RHP, COL) | Stat | Max Fried (LHP, NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-9 | W-L | 4-4 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.0 |
| 5.91/5.22 | ERA / xERA | 2.73/2.54 |
| 5.27/4.92 | FIP / xFIP | 2.65/3.63 |
| 6.9% | K-BB% | 15.8% |
| 42.3% | GB% | 47.3% |
| .306 | BABIP | .255 |
| 92 | Stuff+ | 106 |
| 97 | Location+ | 101 |
Rockies vs Yankees MLB Betting Preview
Yankee Stadium plays 2% above average as a run environment with weather currently expected to add another 3-5% and scheduled plate umpire Ryan Additon adds another 1.4%.
Ryan Feltner has allowed at least four runs in three of his last four outings and the only one he didn’t was a four inning follower proposition.
He’s down to a 6.9 K-BB% with 10% Barrels/BBE and although a 5.91 ERA is above all indicators, his best mark is still just a 4.85 Bot ERA (92 Pitching+).
I see him as a legitimate five runs per nine kind of guy right now.
Batters from either side of the plate have belted Feltner for a wOBA and xwOBA above .330, but just when the Yankee lineup gets healthier with Aaron Judge’s return (though he may not be entirely healthy), they then lose Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Trent Grisham.
BARTOLO’s projected lineup for Thursday averages a plentiful 119 wRC+ at home, 108 wRC+ and .192 ISO against RHP, but just a 92 wRC+ over the last month, which includes five batters below 85.
The projected Colorado defense is fine (4 FRV). The bullpen has the fourth worst estimators over the last month and is BARTOLO’s worst unit on the season.
Here’s an odd Max Fried stat. He’s had two IL stints this year with the first one longer than the second one (just two weeks). Since returning from the first, longer stint, just a bit after the AS break, he’s struck out exactly four or seven in each of his seven starts, including four in each of his last three.
He’s allowed more than one run in just one of those starts, but has just one quality start, as the Yankees have had to be conservative with him.
He hasn’t thrown more than 90 pitches since May 8th and is sitting at a career low 47.3 GB%, his first time below 50%, with a 15.8 K-BB% that’s his second lowest mark since 2021. Yet, he’s allowed just four barrels (1.6%) with a 29.6 HardHit%.
Fried’s contact neutral estimators (3.85 SIERA, 3.63 xFIP) are wildly different than his contact inclusive ones (2.65 FIP, 2.54 xERA).
I tentatively have him around three and a half this year.
The projected Colorado lineup has been competent, averaging a 98 wRC+ on the road and 106 wRC+ against LHP, but just an 84 wRC+ over the last 30 days. TJ Rumfield (153), Connor Norby (104) and Adael Amador (182) are the only projected Rockies above an 82 wRC+ for the last month.
The Yankee defense should be fine (10 FRV). They have the 5th best bullpen estimators over the last 30 days, though BARTOLO ranks them just 21st on the season.
What can you really do here? The Yankees are massive favorites and Fried will probably strike out four to seven batters in fewer than six innings of work, but those aren’t really trends we can be confident in.
Maybe throw a quarter unit at the Rockies if the line gets too out of hand?
Pick: Lean Rockies Moneyline (+300 or Better)
