The Atlanta Braves host the Tampa Bay Rays on September 10, 2026. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 12:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on RAYS.
The Rays are -101 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The Braves are -120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rays vs Braves prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rays vs Braves Prediction
- Rays vs Braves Pick: Nick Martinez Under 17.5 Outs (-173 or Better)
My Rays vs Braves best bet is on Nick Martinez to record under 17.5 pitching outs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Braves Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +167 | 8.5 -103o / -117u | -101 |
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -204 | 8.5 -103o / -117u | -120 |
- Rays vs Braves moneyline: Rays -101, Braves -120
- Rays vs Braves over/under: 8.5 (-103o / -117u)
- Rays vs Braves spread: Rays -1.5 (+167), Braves +1.5 (-204)
Rays vs Braves Probable Pitchers
| Nick Martinez (RHP, TBR) | Stat | Martin Perez (LHP, ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 14-4 | W-L | 8-9 |
| 2.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.2 |
| 3.04/4.21 | ERA / xERA | 3.25/4.76 |
| 3.95/4.48 | FIP / xFIP | 4.31/4.36 |
| 11.0% | K-BB% | 7.7% |
| 36.0% | GB% | 46.0% |
| .265 | BABIP | .255 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 86 |
| 107 | Location+ | 101 |
Rays vs Braves MLB Betting Preview
By Derek Carty
THE BAT X is forecasting 14.97 pitching outs for Nick Martinez compared to 16.81 pitching outs implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here.
If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 70% of the time, resulting in a 33% ROI.
Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $36.35.
This play is good down to at least -173.
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Pick: Nick Martinez Under 17.5 Outs (-173 or Better)
