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Monday Sharp Report: Pros Betting Braves-Pirates, Two Other Games

Credit:

Euclides Rojas, Ray Searage, Chris Archer, Francisco Cervelli. Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

  • Sharps are betting three of Monday's MLB games, headlined by Atlanta Braves-Pittsburgh Pirates (7:05 p.m. ET) with Pittsburgh listed as a -118 favorite and an over/under of 7.5.
  • Wiseguys have also taken sides in the San Francisco Giants-New York Mets and Chicago White Sox-Minnesota Twins games (both 7:10 p.m. ET starts).

Wiseguys had a nice little Sunday Funday. They stopped by Home Depot and Bed Bath and Beyond and then went 3-0 with their plays. Sharps will look to stay hot and take advantage of a small board on Monday.

After analyzing Monday’s 10-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professionals are focusing on, starting at 7:05 p.m. and 7:10 p.m. ET.


>> All data as of 2 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App or check out our MLB live odds page to get real-time data and track your bets.


Betting Terms to Know

Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.

Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.

Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.

Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay the sportsbook in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettors would have to wager $115 to win $100.

Full Sports Betting Glossary


Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Sharp angle: Pirates -125
  • First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET

Public players see the Braves getting plus-money and can’t lay off. But sharps are fading the trendy dog.

The Pirates are getting only 35% of bets but have moved from -117 to -125, indicating sharp reverse line movement in their favor.  We’ve also triggered three separate bet signals on the Buccos without a single conflicting play on Atlanta.

Pros at Pinnacle hit PIT -117 as soon as the line came out, then Goodfellas at BetUs and Bovada hammered PIT -117 and -120 earlier this morning.

Editor’s Note: Braves’ starting pitcher Kevin Gausman was scratched. Bryse Wilson will start in his place. 

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets 

  • Sharp angle: Giants +109
  • First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET

Public bettors are down on the Giants, who just got swept by the Reds to lose their fourth game in a row. Meanwhile, the Mets just completed an 11-game road trip with a 7-4 record.

With New York at home and the streaking Zack Wheeler on the mound (8-6, 3.75 ERA), nearly 65% of bettors are taking the Mets as short favorites. But sharps are buying low on the G-Men.

San Fran is getting only 36% of bets but 44% of dollars, and the Giants have fallen from +117 to +109, indicating smart money in their favor.

Pros at Pinnacle steamed SF +109 with zero conflicting plays on the Mets.

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins 

  • Sharp angle: White Sox +146
  • First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET

The White Sox have won four of their last five games, but their season record is awful (46-77), so the public still wants nothing to do with them.

Fine by the sharps. They’re buying low on the South Siders tonight.

Chicago enjoys a massive bets vs. dollars discrepancy (36% of bets but 59% of dollars), and the line has moved in its direction (+155 to +146). Goodfellas at CRIS steamed the ChiSox +148.

Chicago is a road divisional dog with a high total, a profitable spot since 2005, and also fits two valuable Bet Labs systems: Bad Team After Win (+164.41 units since 2005) and New Series, All Signs Point to Opponent (+183.86 units since 2005).

 


All bets risking one unit, not to win one unit. All plays Listed Pitcher, not Action.

Looking for more in-depth betting analysis? Sign up for a Sports Insights Pro trial and join our Live Betting Hangouts where we break down the board every weeknight from 6:30-7 p.m. ET.

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