Major League Baseball returns to the field on Thursday, March 26, for Opening Day action.
I've got four MLB Home Run Props and HR Picks for Opening Day, including picks for Padres-Tigers, Red Sox-Reds, Rays-Cardinals, and Diamondbacks-Dodgers.
MLB Home Run Props: Expert HR Picks for Opening Day
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Padres vs Tigers Home Run Picks
Kevin McGonigle is a young rookie, but his power and potential are huge.
He hit 19 dingers in the minors last season across just 88 games. He has a great eye, tons of pop, and gets a good spot today.
Nick Pivetta has been a much better matchup for righty bombs over the past two seasons, but he grades out as a guy with neutral splits and is susceptible to lefty power.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +600.
Pick: Kevin McGonigle Home Run (+650 or Better)
Red Sox vs Reds Home Run Props
I generally don't give a ton of weight to Spring Training stats, but Matt McLain was too good to ignore this year.
This is a rough spot against Garrett Crochet, but Crochet is only a slightly below-average matchup for righty power.
The weather in Cincy should be good, with temps in the 80s, and the ballpark is great for power.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +600.
Pick: Matt McLain Home Run (+650 or Better)
Rays vs Cardinals HR Picks
Jordan Walker has been a disappointment in the majors, but the power is there, and this is a good spot.
Drew Rasmussen is a good pitcher, but the weather should be fantastic in St. Louis, with temperatures in the low-90s and winds blowing out at 17 MPH.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +650.
Pick: Jordan Walker Home Run (+700 or Better)
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Expert HR Pick
Kyle Tucker is on a new team this season, and these odds are a bit too high given the spot.
Zac Gallen was a plus matchup for power last season, and the weather in Los Angeles should be decent, with temperatures in the mid-70s and wind blowing out at 8 MPH.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop under +400.
Pick: Kyle Tucker Home Run (+425 or Better)
