MLB Sharp Report: Marlins-Pirates, Tigers-Royals Drawing Pro Money Wednesday
Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Edwin Jackson
- Pros are betting some of the worst games on Wednesday's MLB slate.
- The Action Network's tools have made sharps' opinions clear on Marlins vs. Pirates (7:05 p.m. ET) and Tigers vs. Royals (8:15 p.m. ET).
Are you a fan of betting on the worst possible games? This is the Sharp Report for you.
The pros have made their way to two games in particular, featuring four teams with a total of 199 wins … which, to be clear, is very, very bad. But only caring about value, sharps have made their opinions clear on Marlins vs. Pirates and Tigers vs. Royals.
Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates
7:05 p.m. ET | Robert Dugger (0-1, 4.50 ERA) vs. Trevor Williams (7-6, 5.26 ERA)
After closing as high as +158, the Marlins came away with a 10-inning, 5-4 win last night in Pittsburgh. A .358 team is unlikely to win two games in a row, so it shouldn’t come as too much of a surprise to see 75% of bets taking the Pirates tonight.
Of course, that’s not the correct way of thinking now that Miami already won last night. Perhaps that’s why sharps are finding value on the Fish, who opened around +165 for tonight’s game.
Two Sports Insights Bet Signals — which track and record instances of sharp action moving lines across the market — have been triggered on Miami. That’s brought the Marlins down to +155 despite their lacking support.
Sharp angle: Marlins (moved from +165 to +155)
Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals
8:15 p.m. ET | Edwin Jackson (3-8, 9.35 ERA) vs. Jakob Junis (8-12, 4.93 ERA)
Nothing like a combined ERA north of 14 to get public bettors loading up on an over. Seventy-four percent, in fact, have taken the over in this matchup of the AL Central’s finest.
Despite the over’s popularity, this line still sits at its opener of 9.5. That’s not because oddsmakers haven’t attempted to move it, though.
On multiple occasions, this over/under has made it up to 10, but each time sharps have bought the number back. In total, four SI Bet Signals have lit up the under, but interestingly they’ve all come at an even 10.
We’ve yet to see proof of professional under confidence at 9.5.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 10 to 9.5)