MLB Sharp Betting Pick: Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds (Wednesday, Aug. 12)


Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images. Pictured: Brad Keller #56 of the Kansas City Royals

Today’s matchup between the Kansas City Royals and Cincinnati Reds isn’t the sexiest game on the MLB slate. In fact, The Action Network’s public betting data is reporting a low ticket count compared to the rest of Wednesday’s matchups.

This tells us that casual bettors aren’t showing must interest in Royals vs. Reds, however, the betting activity suggests that the sharps — bettors with the resources and respect to move the entire market — have quietly taken a significant position on this game.

Let’s look at how the pros are playing Royals vs. Reds, and how oddsmakers are reacting in response.

Royals vs. Reds Sharp Betting Pick

6:40 p.m. ET | Brad Keller (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Wade Miley (0-1, 27.00)

Cincinnati opened as a -133 favorite against Kansas City and 61% of moneyline bets are on the Reds. However, oddsmakers have shortened the Royals from +123 to +104 despite receiving less than 40% of the action.

This pattern in betting splits and line movement is a clear giveaway that smart money has entered the market, and Sports Insights’ Bet Signals concur.

Bet Signals, which trigger sharp action alerts in real-time whenever professionals get down heavy on a game, have triggered five smart money indicators on the Royals, with zero on the Reds.

This confirms that despite the majority of bettors laying the favorite, wiseguys have come in hard on the road underdog, leaving oddsmakers no choice but to lower the price on Kansas City.

Sharp angle: Royals (moved from +123 to +104)

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