MLB Sharp Betting Picks: Diamondbacks, Brewers Attracting Pro Action Thursday (August 6)
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images. Pictured: Josh Hader
Thursday’s MLB slate isn’t quite full as a handful of teams have the day off in preparation for their weekend series, but there are still 11 games throughout the day, including seven this evening, from which bettors can attempt to find value.
And sharps have done just that.
Including of pair of plays that mirror the value they found on last night’s slate, the pros have hit three games in particular tonight, and have caused some significant market movement as a result.
Let’s take a look.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians
6:10 p.m. ET | Luis Castillo vs. Carlos Carrasco
A pitcher’s duel appears to be brewing in Cleveland, where oddsmakers opened this evening’s Reds vs. Indians matchup with the lowest over/under on the slate at just 8.
Apparently, though, even that wasn’t low enough — at least according to sharps.
The total now sits at 7.5 even though bettors have been split almost perfectly down the middle. A slight 51% majority has taken the under, but that’s certainly not enough to cause a half-run shift on its own.
Of course, sharp bettors being among that group changes things …
Three Sports Insights Bet Signals — which track and record instances of sharp action causing line moves — have been triggered on the under since this line opened. It’s worth noting that all three came at the opening number of 8, moving the market to its current consensus.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 8 to 7.5) [Bet now at PointsBet. NJ and IN only.]
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Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
7:07 p.m. ET | Brandon Bielak vs. Zac Gallen
For the second night in a row, sharps are hammering the Diamondbacks down from from their opening line, and this time they’ve even pushed them over the fence from underdogs to favorites.
Coming off a 14-7 win, the D-backs — still just 4-8 — have attracted 45% of moneyline bettors, but have gone from +115 to -115 at PointsBet. Another four SI Bet Signals have been triggered on the Snakes, most recently at even-money, causing the minus- to plus-sign transformation.
Sharp angle: D-backs (moved from +115 to -115)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago White Sox
8:10 p.m. ET | Josh Lindblom vs. Gio Gonzalez
It’s back to the well for sharp bettors in this matchup as well, as they’re once again hitting the Brewers after last night’s 1-0 win.
Like the Diamondbacks, the Brewers opened as +115 underdogs. And while they haven’t been the unpopular side like Arizona, their 53% backing wouldn’t exactly qualify as a heavy public backing, either.
But still, they’ve managed to find themselves in a -110 pick’em as of the early afternoon.
Three more Bet Signals have hit Milwaukee throughout the day, giving oddsmakers no choice but to shift their numbers.
Sharp angle: Brewers (moved from +115 to -110)