MLB Friday Weather: Winds Impacting Nats-Cubs, Rockies-Cardinals

MLB Friday Weather: Winds Impacting Nats-Cubs, Rockies-Cardinals article feature image
Credit:

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jack Flaherty.

  • Using the Action Network's betting tools, we've analyzed how weather is impacting Nats-Cubs (2:20 p.m. ET) and Rockies-Cardinals (8:15).

Washington Nationals (A. Sanchez) vs. Chicago Cubs (J. Lester)

2:20 p.m. ET

Yesterday, 12-14 mph winds blowing in at Wrigley made for a pitchers’ duel, as Kyle Hendricks and the Cubs blanked the Giants, 1-0 — quite literally the lowest number of runs that can be scored in an official game.

Today sports a mighty similar forecast.

Perhaps we will get a video of Matt Mitchell hiding in the Wrigley Field ivy drinking a can of Milwaukee’s Best Ice explaining why the under is a good bet again. Fingers crossed.

The wind is a tad less strong, but should still be sitting right around 12 mph throughout the game. Sunny skies and mid-70s temperatures should make for an all-around lovely matinee for those in attendance.

Yesterday’s over/under opened at 7 and actually went up to 7.5, but given the Nats’ less inept offense (5.31 runs per game compared to 4.39 for SF), today’s over/under has opened at 8.

Colorado Rockies (P. Lambert) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (J. Flaherty)

8:15 p.m. ET

If we head a few hundred miles southwest, the Rockies and Cardinals will be playing in essentially the same weather as the Nats and Cubs.

The red-hot Jack Flaherty probably doesn’t need much help from the weather. After a mediocre start, he’s been unreal over the past couple months.

  • Through June: 85.1 innings, 4.75 ERA, 9.9 K/9, 2.8 BB/9, 1.9 HR/9
  • Since July 1st: 55 innings, 1.47 ERA, 11.1 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 0.7 HR/9

That is not what the Rockies want to see because, as has been the case over the past few years, their offense is abysmal on the road. Their .682 road OPS ranks 29th in the league, better than only the Marlins.

It’s not as notable of a weather ballpark as Wrigley, but Busch Stadium is a great ballpark for unders. Historically, it ranks as the second-best under ballpark behind Minute Maid Park, but this year, its 37-22-2 under record is tops in the bigs per Bet Labs.

Unders are 198-154-19 (56.3%) at Busch when the wind is blowing in from left, center or right, including an insane 19-2-1 record this year. That type of cash rate literally scares me because it’s so good … it’s gotta come back down to earth at some point, right?

This over/under has remained at 8.5 since opening.

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