The Seattle Mariners host the New York Yankees on April 1, 2026. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SEAM.
The Mariners are favored by -118 on the moneyline and by +1.5 on the run line. The Yankees are +100 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Yankees vs Mariners prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction
- Yankees vs Mariners Pick: Mariners ML (-115 or Better)
My Yankees vs Mariners best bet is Mariners Moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Mariners Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +176 | 7.5 -100o / -122u | +100 |
| Mariners Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -215 | 7.5 -100o / -122u | -118 |
- Yankees vs Mariners spread: Yankees -1.5 (+176), Mariners +1.5 (-215)
- Yankees vs Mariners over/under: 7.5 (-100 / -122)
- Yankees vs Mariners moneyline: Yankees +100, Mariners -118
Yankees vs Mariners Probable Pitchers
| Cam Schlittler (RHP) | Stat | George Kirby (RHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | W-L | 1-0 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 0.00 / 0.84 | ERA / xERA | 1.50 / 3.00 |
| 0.20 / 1.31 | FIP / xFIP | 4.86 / 3.69 |
| 0.19 | WHIP | 0.67 |
| 47.1% | K-BB% | 18.2% |
| 44.4% | GB% | 61.5% |
| 120 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 113 | Location+ | 128 |
Yankees vs Mariners Preview
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The Yankees have won four of their first five games to start the season.
Surprisingly, it is their pitching carrying them, rather than the loaded offense. Even their sole loss — a 2-1 match against the Mariners on Monday — was a fantastic pitching day.
The Yankees are opting for a four-man rotation to start this season due to the injuries on their staff and the inconsistency from the 2024 AL Rookie of the Year, Luis Gil.
Nevertheless, their loaded offense did not disappear. They are just dormant for the time being.
Their oft-critiqued captain, Aaron Judge, already has two home runs this season. However, his strikeout rate has reached an alarming 47.6% through 21 plate appearances (with just one walk).
Meanwhile, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Ben Rice, Cody Bellinger, and Trent Grisham have yet to hit a home run. Rice and Bellinger are hitting well otherwise, while the others continue their early slump.
The best hitter on the team to start this season is Giancarlo Stanton. If you asked someone five years ago if this would be the case, it would seem reasonable. If you asked someone this past offseason, when his inability to open a bag of potato chips was reported, they would have found it astounding.
Stanton's torrid pace will not keep up as fatigue sets in throughout a prolonged baseball season, but it does help them now. His steady bat in the middle of the order will allow the rest of this talented offense to settle in comfortably soon.
There is no need for panic on the struggling Yankees hitters, especially since they have not played in their favorable Bronx home park yet.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Mariners have as many wins as losses through six games in 2026.
Pitching is carrying their wins, with no more than one run allowed in any of the three thus far. Bryan Woo, George Kirby, Luis Castillo, and Sunday's breakout star, Emerson Hancock, have done their part. Logan Gilbert and the offense have not.
This season will get better, as Gilbert and the offense are too talented not to figure things out.
The AL MVP runner-up, Cal Raleigh, is ice-cold, with 13 strikeouts through 24 plate appearances. Star outfielder Julio Rodriguez posted his second hit of the season on Tuesday, while Josh Naylor just earned his first.
As time goes on, the pendulum will swing back. Star players cannot stay cold forever. Unless there is an injury or an unreported mass influenza outbreak, the Mariners' bats will pick up where they left off last season.
The star of their early-year lineup is offseason trade acquisition Brendan Donovan. He has made his presence known in Seattle with a .429/.538/.762 slash-line through their first five home games.
Donovan's only partner in crime is fellow infielder Cole Young. Young's potential breakout is a welcome sight for a Mariners team missing shortstop J.P. Crawford to start the season.
This start to the year is not ideal, nor concerning.
Their roster is overly talented, and they just locked up star prospect Colt Emerson to a long-term deal. While Emerson will not be up for several weeks, his looming presence is an ace up the team's sleeve.
Speaking of aces, the Mariners' rotation is not only loaded, but they have uber-talented reinforcements in the minors between Kade Anderson and Ryan Sloan.
This is a team set up for a serious postseason run, and that makes them a value for the pennant at their current odds (+425).
Yankees vs Mariners Picks
Schlitter vs. Kirby is must-watch television, just like Max Fried vs. Logan Gilbert.
Schlitter is the young, breakout star, while Kirby is the established veteran ace, who might have another elite tier to reach.
Schlitter dominated the Giants in his first start of the season. He pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing zero runs, zero walks, just one hit, while striking out eight batters. This follows a 2025 season with a 2.96 ERA through 73 regular-season innings.
Meanwhile, Kirby posted a typical start last week. Through six innings, he allowed two hits, two walks, and one earned run while striking out six.
Both Kirby (vs. Guardians) and Schlittler (vs. Giants) faced mediocre offenses in their first start.
However, we have an extended sample of George Kirby's success. He is a perennial AL Cy Young candidate who is deservedly in the conversation for the league's best starting pitcher.
Kirby's 2025 season was not ideal, but it was delayed and hampered by a shoulder injury. He appeared at full strength throughout the second half (3.69 ERA, 3.11 xFIP from June 8 on), and he looked great in his 2026 debut.
Cam Schlittler is still somewhat of a question mark. His 2025 ERA was incredible, but it was backed by a 4.11 xERA, 3.77 xFIP, and 3.84 SIERA. This does not indicate that he is bad. Rather, he is more volatile than his ERA suggests.
Both bullpens are fully available after yesterday's matchup, which makes for a potentially close game.
However, with two loaded, ice-cold offenses and only one proven, elite starting pitcher on the mound, I lean toward Seattle.
Pick: Mariners ML (-115 or Better)
