How Sharps Are Betting Thursday’s Lofty Pirates vs. Rockies Over/Under

How Sharps Are Betting Thursday’s Lofty Pirates vs. Rockies Over/Under article feature image
Credit:

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Trevor Williams

  • Tonight's Pirates vs. Rockies (8:40 p.m. ET) game is offering one of the highest over/unders of the 2019 MLB season.
  • Sharps have found value in this lofty total as well, which we explain below with the help of The Action Network's betting tools.

With a short 10-game slate and just six night games, there are very few instances of sharp MLB action to report for Thursday night.

But while scanning tonight’s board, the Pirates vs. Rockies over/under quickly caught my attention.  At 14.5, this total is challenging the Yankees-Red Sox June 30 matchup (which closed at 15) to be the highest of the season.

And while the total itself is certainly noteworthy, how sharps are betting this number is even more intriguing.

Pirates vs. Rockies Odds, Sharp Betting Pick

As I mentioned above, the Pirates vs. Rockies over/under currently sits at 14.5, but that’s not where it started.

Oddsmakers opened this total at 14, and the majority of bettors (60%) are jumping at the chance to play under this massive number.

However, 56% of real money wagered is landing on the over, suggesting that the larger wagers think this total still isn’t high enough.

Sports Insights’ Bet Signals — which track and report sharp betting action in real-time — concur, triggering two Reverse Line Moves and one Steam Move on the over, revealing three separate instances of market-moving money pushing this total up.

In fact, all three of these signals hit when the number was 14, which tells us two things:

  1. It’s reasonable to conclude that the influx of sharp action at 14 forced oddsmakers to stem the flow of professional money by increasing the total to 14.5.
  2. Considering there has yet to be a move triggered at 14.5, those sharp bettors who drove the initial over/under movement saw value at 14, but have yet to make at move at the current listing.