The San Diego Padres host the Seattle Mariners on April 14, 2026. First pitch from Petco Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SDPA.
The Mariners are favored by -122 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Padres are +102 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mariners vs Padres prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mariners vs Padres Prediction
- Mariners vs Padres Picks: Ramon Laureano 1+ Hitter K (-427), Brendan Donovan 1+ Hit (-204) (-125 SGP at DraftKings)
My Mariners vs Padres best bet is a same game parlay combining Ramon Laureano 1+ batter strikeout and Brendan Donovan 1+ hit. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mariners vs Padres Odds
| Mariners Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +139 | 7 -120o / 100u | -122 |
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -168 | 7 -120o / 100u | +102 |
- Mariners vs Padres spread: Padres +1.5 (-168), Mariners -1.5 (+139)
- Mariners vs Padres over/under: 7 (-120o/+100u)
- Mariners vs Padres moneyline: Mariners -122, Padres +102
Mariners vs Padres Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Bryan Woo (SEA) | Stat | RHP Michael King (SDP) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | W-L | 1-1 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 1.50/2.00 | ERA /xERA | 3.24/4.80 |
| 2.13/4.32 | FIP / xFIP | 3.79/4.47 |
| 0.78 | WHIP | 1.20 |
| 19.1% | K-BB% | 10.3% |
| 26.1% | GB% | 39.5% |
| 108 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 107 | Location+ | 89 |
Mariners vs Padres Preview
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
It's Bryan Woo and a struggling Mariners offense in San Diego for this one. We're a long way from first pitch as this is published, but it's looking like the weather will be advantageous for two pitchers who are very tough to square up.
And that's where my mind goes to immediately when I see a matchup of Woo against Michael King. Two guys who are very hard to rack up barrels against.
Woo has gone 14 straight starts without giving up multiple home runs. He has a 2.73 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP dating back to last year. He's picked up right where he left off this year, allowing just three earned runs through three outings with no homers allowed and a 1.50 ERA so far.
Let's look at the weather. It'll be warm in San Diego, as usual, but the winds are looking to be blowing in. Kevin Roth, the sports betting weather man, has this game with a 16% reduction in homers relative to the average situation in San Diego.
It's never good weather in which to try to hit Bryan Woo, but this could be an extra hard go at it for the Padres offense.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
Michael King hasn't been impressive ever since that breakout 2024 season in his first year as a full-time starter with the Padres. But he throws these good sinkers and changeups, which are always tough to get into the air.
He's allowed 0.54 HR/9 so far this year, and just 1.08 HR/9 dating back to 2024. He seems to be in good health this year after an injury-riddled 2025 season.
I'm never betting on King to be efficient and pitch super deep into the game and look completely dominant. But the one thing I'm confident about this year is that he'll be good at limiting the long ball.
The Mariners offense got right against Mike Burrows and the Astros on Monday afternoon, but they've been one of the worst offenses in the league in the early going. There are plenty of perennial slow-starters on this offense, and Cal Raleigh is in that crew in 2026.
We're probably in for a low-scoring affair in this one. From a fantasy baseball and betting perspective, I'm looking to buy low on King for the rest of the season.
Mariners vs Padres Picks
The books have adjusted and the lines have moved down since I began reading this. So I'm not seeing much of an edge or a betting opportunity at a line of under seven for +100.
I consulted my matchups model over on MLB Data Warehouse. This looks at pitch movement profiles and sees how hitters perform against those specific movement profiles. So we can zoom in, for example, on how Ramon Laureano has performed in recent years against righties that throw pitches that are pretty similar to Woo.
In this case, it's not good. He has a large 14% SwStr% on 1,091 pitches seen. That's a ton of whiffing. His xwOBA is very bad at .298 as well.
On the other side, it looks like a good spot for the bat path of Brendan Donovan. He's at a .378 xwOBA with a miniscule 5% SwStr% in 1,297 pitches he's seen like the ones he'll get from King.
And this is where my recommendation will come from.
Picks: Ramon Laureano 1+ Hitter K (-427), Brendan Donovan 1+ Hit (-204) (-125 SGP at DraftKings)
