Sunday MLB Picks: Our Staff’s Best Bets for Blue Jays vs. Rays & Angels vs. Twins (September 25)
David Berding/Getty Images. Pictured: Dylan Bundy
- The baseball season is winding down, but there's still plenty of bets to make.
- Our experts found a pair of plays worth targeting on Sunday, including a side and an F5 total.
- Continue reading for their best bets and analysis.
The season is winding down, but that doesn't mean the betting options have disappeared.
There are 15 games on the Sunday slate and our experts have found a pair of best bets. They're targeting both a moneyline and a first five innings over.
Here are Sunday's best bets.
MLB Odds & Picks
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Tony Sartori: We have a very intriguing contest on the schedule as the Blue Jays and Rays go head-to-head. Ross Stripling gets the start for Toronto and he is is 8-4 with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP this season.
While those are strong numbers, there are a couple of reasons to expect a poorer outing from the right-hander. First of all, Stripling has struggled against Tampa Bay.
Over his past four outings against the Rays, Stripling is 1-3 with a 7.31 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP. Additionally, he is coming off a terrible performance against the Phillies in which he allowed five runs on nine hits through four innings.
On the other side, Shane McClanahan is taking the mound for Tampa Bay. Through 26 starts this season, McClanahan is 12-6 with a 2.36 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP. While he has been tremendous all season, this could be a tough game considering Toronto's strong numbers against left-handers.
Additionally, McClanahan is coming off one of his worst starts of the season. In that outing, he surrendered five runs on five hits through four innings. Since returning from injury on September 15, McClanahan has yet to go deeper than five innings.
We are getting tremendous value in the F5 total because of the pitching matchup.
Yes, Stripling has had a good season. Yes, McClanahan is one of the best pitchers in baseball.
However, they are also going against two extremely strong lineups. The Rays have hit extremely well against Stripling and McClanahan has shown he can surrender some early runs.
The reason I like the F5 total instead of the game total is that both bullpens are strong and I see more value in going against the big names starting the game.
The F5 innings have seen four or more runs scored in each of Stripling's past six games and in each of McClanahan's past three.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins
Jules Posner: The Twins have been spiraling, but they have a good opportunity to bust out of it it they can snag a series victory over the Angels.
Dylan Bundy has been a solid home starter in 2022. He's posted a 3.86 ERA at home, but his 4.36 FIP indicates he's been slightly lucky — but still palatable this season.
Similarly, Jose Suarez has a 3.83 ERA and a 4.18 FIP on the road, making him an equally appealing road option at this point in the season.
Additionally, both offenses have posted solid numbers in their respective situations. The Twins have the second highest wRC+ against lefties at home over the past month and the Angels have a top 10 wRC+ on the road against right handers over the past two weeks.
However, the Twins have a huge edge in the bullpen. Although they've had their struggles, they are still a much better unit and if this game is close, look for the Twins to pull away late.
The Twins' moneyline is at a decent value of -115, but it should be played at -140 or better.