The Detroit Tigers host the Toronto Blue Jays on May 16, 2026. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNET.
The Tigers are favored by -130 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Blue Jays are +110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Blue Jays vs Tigers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction
- Blue Jays vs Tigers Pick: Blue Jays ML (+100 or Better)
My Blue Jays vs Tigers best bet is on Toronto to win. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Blue Jays vs Tigers Odds
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -194 | 8.5 -102o / -120u | +110 |
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +160 | 8.5 -102o / -120u | -130 |
- Blue Jays vs Tigers moneyline: Blue Jays +110, Tigers -130
- Blue Jays vs Tigers over/under: 8.5 (-102 / -120)
- Blue Jays vs Tigers spread: Blue Jays +1.5 (-194), Tigers -1.5 (+160)
Blue Jays vs Tigers Probable Pitchers
| Mason Fluharty (LHP, TOR) | Stat | Casey Mize (RHP, DET) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | W-L | 2-2 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 5.40 / 1.82 | ERA / xERA | 2.90 / 3.41 |
| 3.74 / 2.88 | FIP / xFIP | 2.84 / 3.63 |
| 18.5% | K-BB% | 18.8% |
| 36.8% | GB% | 38.8% |
| .342 | BABIP | .304 |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 88 |
| 104 | Location+ | 101 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Expert MLB Picks
It's a bullpen game for Toronto on Saturday, as the Jays will open behind Mason Fluharty and likely give the bulk of the innings to rookie Spencer Miles.
That might turn some bettors off this squad, but it shouldn't — the Blue Jays bullpen is awesome.
I have them power-rated with the fifth-best bullpen in baseball. They lead the league in reliever xFIP and reliever Stuff+ while ranking second in reliever Pitching+. While Jeff Hoffman might be unavailable, Louis Varland and Tyler Rogers are available in the back end, and there are plenty of middle-relief options.
Miles isn't a bad bulk option, either. He's running expected run indicators in the low-threes (3.30 xERA, 3.30 xFIP) behind a 15% K-BB, and his batted-ball profile is immaculate. You'll see a healthy amount of sliders (35% usage), a pitch the Tigers have been around league-average against (.695 OPS, .296 wOBA).
It's also helpful that the Blue Jays are one of MLB's best defensive teams.
I think Toronto is beginning to turn it around in the batter's box, as the Jays are pulling more balls in the air over the past few weeks. Casey Mize is a good pitcher, but he's due for some general regression (2.90 ERA, 3.63 xFIP, 4.57 botERA), and his fastball velocity is nearing career lows (93.9 MPH on average, 93.3 MPH in his most recent start).
Pick: Blue Jays ML (+100 or Better)
