Two teams heavy on hitting and light on top-notch starting pitching face off tonight when the Minnesota Twins take on the New York Yankees in Game 1 of the ALDS.
Recreational bettors tend to play favorites and overs more often than dogs and unders, and that's what we're seeing in tonight's matchup.
The Yankees are attracting a slight majority in moneyline tickets (55%), while the over is a more popular wager with 78% of bets.
Odds as of Friday at 12:30 p.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
This is a postseason game that involves the Bronx Bombers, so the ticket count will certainly be high. But where are the market's sharpest bettors finding value for Twins vs. Yankees Game 1?
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Sharp Report
Jose Berrios (14-8, 3.68 ERA) vs. James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 ERA)
As mentioned above, it's not at all surprising to see casual bettors hammering this over, especially considering that the Yankees and Twins finished first and second, respectively, in runs scored during the regular season.
However, often when the public zigs — especially in heavily-bet games — professionals zag, and that's exactly how they're playing this total.
Despite those 78% of tickets landing on the over, this number has dropped from 9 to 8.5, thanks solely to smart money.
Sports Insights' Bet Signals, which track and report professional betting action in real-time — have triggered three smart money indicators on the under, explaining the half-run movement we've seen so far.
Please note that each of these three signals came when the total sat at 9, revealing that pros have yet to make a move on the current number.