UFC Vegas 86 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Dan Ige vs. Andre Fili: A Sweaty Bet for UFC Co-Headliner (Saturday, February 10)
Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images. Pictrued: UFC featherweight Andre Fili
Dan Ige vs. Andre Fili Odds
Here's everything you need to know about Dan Ige vs. Andre Fili at UFC Vegas 86 on Saturday, Feb. 10 – our expert UFC prediction and pick.
Tonight's UFC Vegas 86 co-headliner features an impromptu featherweight fight between longtime UFC staples Ige and Fili.
Originally slated to face England's Lerone Murphy (who had to withdraw due to injury), Ige will instead defend his No. 13 UFC contender ranking spot opposite a fellow Pacific Islander in Fili.
Although Fili took this fight on just two weeks' notice, the 33-year-old is turning around from an impressive stoppage win over Lucas Almeida at UFC 296, which was roughly eight weeks ago.
If Fili makes weight without issue, then we should be in for some fun fireworks on Saturday night.
Tale of the Tape
| Ige | Fili | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 17-7 | 23-10 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 13:08 | 10:47 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'11" |
| Weight (pounds) | 146 lbs. | 146 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 71" | 74" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 8/6/1991 | 6/25/1990 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 3.76 | 3.86 |
| SS Accuracy | 45% | 37% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 3.53 | 4.11 |
| SS Defense | 57% | 51% |
| Take Down Avg | 1.07 | 2.19 |
| TD Acc | 26% | 47% |
| TD Def | 58% | 69% |
| Submission Avg | 0.3 | 0.3 |
Both men are incredibly well-rounded fighters who are competent in practically every phase.
Fili, who is the more pronounced kicker at range, wields a dynamic tool kit that can be fun to watch.
Whether Fili is working off his stinging jab or flowing in and out of kicking opportunities, the Team Alpha Male product appears to be comfortable in almost every phase of the fight.
When feeling in stride, Fili is not afraid to change his level and show off his underrated double-leg takedown.
Fili, who used to wrestle as a youth, is also a solid transitional grappler who knows his way through a scramble.
That said, Fili will have a willing dance partner in case this fight gets dirty.
No stranger to the proverbial dogfight, Ige traditionally likes to pressure and press the action whenever possible.
Pushing forward less frantically since working with Eric Nicksick, Ige will now conduct traffic much more efficiently inside the octagon.
Utilizing good feints and footwork to pressure and corral his opposition toward the fence, Ige has gotten better about pulling out offense that opens up his counters.
Ige, who wrestled at Wartburg College in Iowa, has also made concerted efforts to re-sharpen his wrestling in recent years.
Although Ige is still not beyond finding himself in precarious positions, the Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt has proven to be a tough out to stop or submit.
(MMA bettors in North Carolina: Check out the latest timeline for North Carolina sports betting's planned launch in the state.)
Ige vs. Fili Pick
The oddsmakers and the public seem to be favoring the Hawaiian, listing Ige -184 and Fili +142 as of this writing.
Even though support for the underdog wouldn't surprise me in this spot, I think that this betting line is exactly where it should be for this matchup.
Fili certainly feels like the more dangerous and dynamic fighter, but Ige's Hawaiian durability is a tried and true trait that has withstood the pressure tests thus far.
And despite Fili's kicks and knees being particularly live considering the style and stature of his counterpart, I suspect that Ige will be the more likely party to score a knockdown in this fight.
I don't blame anyone for taking a plus-money fier on Fili as an underdog, but I don't think I can get there given the short-notice intangibles at hand.
I'll officially be picking Ige to edge out a decision, but I'll be looking to the prop markets as far as bets go.
I'm not sure how much of a dogfight Fili will want to engage in given that he's taking this fight on fairly short notice, which makes me like the "fight goes the distance" prop at -160 even more (especially considering the comparable price and risk of playing Ige's moneyline). You can find that line at FanDuel and most of the other major sportsbooks at the time of this writing.
I don't hate any small sprinkles on Ige to win by knockout as a potential bonus or hedge, especially if you can get plus money that's north of 3-1 odds.
That said, I ultimately believe that we're in for 15 minutes of action that will be sweaty enough regardless of what side you're on.
The Pick: Ige vs. Fili – fight goes to decision (-160 at FanDuel)
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