The NBA regular season is back in action with an excellent slate of games this Sunday, with a total of 10 matchups on the docket scheduled for today. So, our staff of basketball betting experts dug into the latest odds and identified NBA picks for five of tonight's matchups.
Continue below for our NBA picks, odds, props, and predictions for Sunday, January 11.
NBA Picks, Odds, Props, Predictions: Sunday, January 11
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 3:30 p.m. | |
  | 6 p.m. | |
  | 6 p.m. | |
  | 7 p.m. | |
  | 8:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Nets vs. Grizzlies
By Bet Labs
This NBA system focuses on regular season matchups where struggling road underdogs offer hidden value.
Teams on short losing streaks both straight up and against the spread often become undervalued in the market, as public sentiment turns sharply against them.
These spots tend to produce inflated lines that fail to reflect the small margins separating most teams, especially when the visiting side has already been in the role of the underdog for consecutive games.
Such teams frequently respond with higher energy and focus after a string of poor performances, particularly when traveling, where distractions are limited, and motivation is heightened to end a skid.
This system capitalizes on market overreaction to recent losses, finding edges where perception diverges from reality and resilient road teams quietly bounce back to outperform expectations.
Pick: Nets +7.5 (-110)
| | | | |
Knicks vs. Trail Blazers
By Bet Labs
This NBA system targets first half moneyline opportunities where strong teams often start slow against inferior opponents.
During the regular season, underdogs with modest Pythagorean ratings face elite opponents with high win records who may be pacing themselves or conserving energy early in games.
These matchups frequently occur when the superior team is in cruise control, relying on second half adjustments rather than urgency in the opening quarters.
Meanwhile, the underdog typically plays with early intensity and effort, creating value in short term situations before talent disparity takes over.
By isolating first halves against top competition, this system leverages motivational imbalance and situational focus to identify profitable early game edges.
Pick: Trail Blazers First Half Moneyline (+135)
| | | | |
76ers vs. Raptors
By Bet Labs
This NBA system identifies profitable moneyline opportunities by fading home teams that are mildly hot but not dominant, especially during the heart of the season.
These situations occur when a team has recently won one or two games and returns home after a short road trip, creating inflated market confidence and public bias.
When those same teams were underdogs in their previous game, bettors often overreact to the perceived turnaround, driving prices beyond fair value.
Visiting teams benefit from this pricing inefficiency, as motivation and focus tend to be stronger for road squads facing temporarily overvalued opponents.
The effect is most pronounced in winter months when travel schedules and fatigue begin to normalize early season variance, allowing disciplined contrarian bettors to take advantage of short-term overperformance by home favorites.
Pick: 76ers Moneyline (-180)
| | | | |
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
By Bet Labs
This NBA system targets regular season matchups where fatigue and overvaluation intersect to create an edge for visiting teams.
Home teams that have played multiple games in a short span, often three to five within five days, tend to experience a drop in energy and defensive consistency despite the advantage of being on their own court.
The market often overlooks this subtle fatigue effect, assuming comfort at home offsets physical wear, but in reality, quick turnarounds and short rest lead to slower rotations, weaker transition defense, and less efficiency late in games.
Visiting teams facing these tired hosts, particularly when they are more rested and entering the matchup with focus and travel rhythm, tend to outperform expectations against the spread.
This setup consistently rewards bettors who recognize that rest and intensity outweigh location when home favorites are running on fumes.
Pick: Spurs +2.5 (-105)
| | | | |
Hawks vs. Warriors
By Bet Labs
This NBA system focuses on games where struggling road teams face stronger home opponents in non-conference matchups, creating favorable conditions for high scoring results.
When a poor road team with a low win rate meets a winning home team, defensive effort and intensity often dip for the visitor while the home side pushes the pace and controls offensive rhythm.
Non-conference games tend to feature looser defensive schemes and unfamiliar matchups, leading to faster scoring runs and less resistance in transition.
The data shows that when totals close above the 220 range and the line movement slightly favors the Over, the market correctly anticipates offensive efficiency rather than defensive pressure.
These situations consistently produce games where both teams exceed expectations, with the stronger home team dictating tempo and the weaker visitor contributing enough to push the total past the number.
Pick: Over 235.5 (-110)
| | | | |
