Game 5 of the NBA Finals will take center stage this Saturday — and our NBA betting expert Prop Bomb has locked in his top player prop bet for tonight's matchup between the New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs.
Let's dive into our NBA prop bet for Miles McBride in Knicks vs. Spurs Game 5 on Saturday, June 13.
NBA Prop Bet for Saturday, June 13
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 8:30 p.m. | |
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Knicks vs. Spurs Prop Bet for NBA Finals Game 5
Miles McBride Over 0.5 Three-Pointers Made (-107)
Every player in New York's rotation has had a Finals moment except one. Jalen Brunson had his big comebacks, OG Anunoby had the game-winning tip-in, even Jose Alvarado stole a closing lineup.
Miles McBride has scored 11 points on 4-of-20 shooting across four games in this series, a cold stretch that cost him his second-half minutes in Game 4 and has people wondering whether Mike Brown benches him entirely on Saturday.
Despite all that, McBride is not flinching. Asked about the slump, he said he stays confident and believes he can impact the game in a lot of ways, then put it plainly: "I'm going to make shots. I'm never worried about that."
I think the number sides with him here, because this prop is less about whether McBride is shooting well and more about where San Antonio chooses to put him in the defensive priority order.
The Spurs built a 29-point Game 4 lead by keeping Victor Wembanyama low as a free safety at the rim, and that is the coverage they want back.
The cost of it is the weak-side corner: Wembanyama guards whoever stands there and sags off to wall up the paint, daring that man to shoot. When McBride is on the floor, he is usually that man.
So the very adjustment San Antonio is desperate to re-establish is the one that creates McBride's open catch-and-shoot looks — and if the Spurs lose the thread again and Wembanyama gets dragged out to the perimeter, McBride becomes the release valve on drives by Brunson and Alvarado.
Either style of defense feeds him. That is why his role matters more than his slump.
In the games where McBride plays 6 to 10 minutes and takes 2 to 4 threes, the exact bench-spacer job he is walking into, he has made at least one three-pointer in 7 of the 9 that fit the profile (77.8%). That sample already absorbs his two cold Finals misses.
A backup firing three or four open looks needs only one to drop, and the history says he clears that bar more often than not in this spot.
The risk is the same reason he sat in the second half of Game 4: if he misses some shots early, he could get the quick hook in a closeout game.
This is a minutes bet as much as a shooting bet, and a token cameo sinks it. But if the Knicks offense is humming and McBride is on the floor for the looks San Antonio's defense is built to surrender, one made three is a low bar to reach.
McBride has not had his moment yet in this series. The way the Spurs are about to guard him might be what hands him one.
Pick: Miles McBride Over 0.5 Three-Pointers Made (-107)
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