2023 March Madness: Princeton’s Odds to Make Final Four, Win Tournament
Pictured: Blake Peters #24, Tosan Evbuomwan #20, and Keeshawn Kellman #32 of the Princeton Tigers. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
Princeton is the biggest Cinderella remaining in the 2023 NCAA Tournament after it pulled off back-to-back upsets.
The Tigers had been as long as +890 on the moneyline versus No. 2 seed Arizona in the First Round. Then, Princeton was about +230 on the moneyline against Missouri.
Princeton dispatched them both.
Despite the wins, the market has close to zero respect for the Ivy League school. Princeton’s odds to win the NCAA Tournament are abysmal — 170-1 at FanDuel. The Tigers have by far the worst odds of any team remaining.
The +17000 odds imply a probability of 0.6% that the Princeton Tigers win 2023’s March Madness.
Princeton’s odds to make the Final Four are equally as poor. Those sit at +4000 at FanDuel. That implies a probability of 2.4% that the Tigers make the Final Four.
As you may imagine, the advanced metrics don’t favor Princeton all that much, either. Both Ken Pomeroy and Bart Torvik’s T-Rankings consider Princeton the worst team remaining in the tournament — by a substantial degree.
But yet, the Tigers are plucky as can be, and they’re live against a Creighton team that has dropped plenty of games to inferior teams.
Princeton opened as +10.5-point underdogs against Creighton for its Sweet 16 matchup later this week. That includes a +425 clip on the moneyline.
If you recall, Saint Peter’s was about +650 on the moneyline vs. Purdue last year during this round. The No. 15 seed won.
If Princeton pulls off yet another ridiculous upset, it’d play the winner of Alabama vs. San Diego State for a spot in the Final Four.
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