Wednesday College Basketball Betting: LSU-Mississippi State, Notre Dame-Miami

Feb 06, 2019 05:10 PM EST
Credit:

Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Naz Reid

Just five ranked teams are in action during Wednesday’s college basketball slate, but one of them includes an intriguing SEC duel with No. 21 LSU traveling to Mississippi State. Before that, there’s an unranked ACC contest between Miami and Notre Dame.

Let’s break them down.


>> All odds as of Tuesday night. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NCAAB odds and track your bets.


Betting Odds: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Miami Hurricanes

  • Spread: Miami -3.5
  • Over/Under: 140.5
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN2

The Hurricanes (7-14 against the spread) and Fighting Irish (8-14 ATS) have delivered comparable trends, both failing to cover in four of their past five games. But Miami is on a five-game outright losing streak while Notre Dame snapped an identical skid with a 79-73 win at Boston College on Saturday.

The 6-foot-11 Juwan Durham also returned to the Irish’s rotation after missing five of their previous six contests with an ankle injury. With Durham, Mike Brey’s crew presents a massive size advantage against a Hurricanes team with the second-lowest offensive and defensive rebounding rate, respectively, in ACC play.

Expect Notre Dame to control the game with its ultra-slow tempo as a result. Although it presents the seventh-lowest Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (100.6 points per 100 possessions) during its league slate, it’s turning the ball over at a conference-low 15.2% clip.

Moreover, the Hurricanes have allowed the second-highest 3-point percentage (38.5%) in ACC play, along with their conference foes notching the third-highest scoring rate (38.3%) from that area. Brey’s bunch is amassing 66th-highest scoring percentage (36.7%) from the perimeter in Division I, and that should continue in Miami.

According to our Bet Labs data, Miami is 5-1 (83.3%) ATS vs. the Irish since Jim Larranaga took the reigns, but Notre Dame will buck that trend on Wednesday.

THE PICK: Notre Dame +3.5

LSU Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs

  • Spread: Mississippi State -2.5
  • Over/Under: 158
  • Time: 9 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN2

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