NCAAB Betting Guide for Georgia vs. Arkansas

NCAAB Betting Guide for Georgia vs. Arkansas article feature image

Wesley Hitt/Getty Images. Pictured: Makhel Mitchell and Ricky Council IV.

Georgia vs. Arkansas Odds

Tuesday, Feb. 21
9 p.m. ET
SEC Network
Georgia Odds
-110o / -110u
Arkansas Odds
-110o / -110u
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute college basketball odds here.

The Georgia Bulldogs continue a road trip on Tuesday when they travel to Fayetteville to battle the Arkansas Razorbacks.

Following consecutive home wins, the Bulldogs were blew out in their most recent game on the road, a 108-59 defeat to then-No. 1 Alabama. They fell to 16-11 and 6-8 in the SEC.

Arkansas snapped a two-game losing streak with an 84-65 victory over Florida on Saturday. The Razorbacks are 18-9 and 7-7 in conference. They appear to be solidly in the NCAA Tournament, but their next two games are at Alabama and Tennessee, so they can ill-afford a slip up as a home favorite.

Since joining the SEC, Arkansas is 12-3 against Georgia in Fayetteville. This season, Arkansas is 12-2 at home while Georgia is 1-8 on the road. Will these trends continue with Arkansas being a double-digit favorite?

Georgia Bulldogs

Georgia was blitzed early on at Alabama as it fell behind by 20 points in the first 10 minutes of the game. Georgia could not hit enough shots to combat Alabama's runs. It shot 38% from the field, 31% from three, and 43% from the free throw line. The offensive end has been a struggle for Georgia this season.

Georgia ranks 236th in scoring offense and averages 69.5 points per game. It ranks 281st or worse in 2-point field goal percentage and 3-point field goal percentage.

Georgia has two double-digit scorers in guards Terry Roberts (14.1 PPG) and Kario Oquendo (12.6 PPG). Roberts leads the team with 4.1 assists but also commits three turnovers per game. As a team, Georgia averages 11.6 assists and 13 turnovers per game.

Georgia is 160th in adjusted offensive efficiency. Facing Alabama, a top five defense nationally, did not help matters, but Arkansas has also been an elite defensive team this season.

Georgia rebounds by committee with six players averaging three rebounds per game, but none over five. Georgia is 90th in rebounds per game and wins the rebounding battle by one per game. However, it allows 11 offensive rebounds per game and ranks 312th nationally.

It struggles similarly on the interior and allows opponents to shoot 50% on 2-point attempts, which is 202nd nationally. However, defending the three is a strength. It ranks 44th and allows opponents to shoot just 31% from three.

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Arkansas Razorbacks

Arkansas ranks 60th in adjusted offensive efficiency. However, it should see a boost in the near with highly touted freshman Nick Smith Jr. recently returning to the lineup. Head coach Eric Musselman has slowly reintegrated him to the lineup over the past three games, but his best game since returning was on Saturday when he scored 10 points in 32 minutes.

Guard Ricky Council IV leads the team with 16.4 points per game and he is shooting 45% from the field. With Smith back, Council IV came off the bench on Saturday for just the second time this season. The Razorbacks lineup will be something to monitor.

Freshman guard Anthony Black is averaging 13 points, 5.1 rebounds, and shooting 46% from the field. He also leads the team with 4.2 assists and two steals per game.

Arkansas leads the SEC and is 24th nationally in field goal percentage, shooting 48% as a team. Much of its success comes inside as it shoot 55% on 2-point attempts. The Razorbacks also get to the foul line 21.4 times per game, which ranks 39th nationally, though they shoot just 70% as a team. Council IV and Black each attempt five free throws per game.

Arkansas shoots just 30.4% from three, which ranks 339th nationally. However, it also is limiting opponents to 32% beyond the arc. Arkansas is holding opponents to 45% on twos, which ranks 19th nationally.

It ranks 11th with 5.3 blocks per game and 43rd with 8.3 blocks. Twins Mahkel and Mahki Mitchell are each over a block per game to lead the team. Mahkel averages 1.9, which is fourth in the SEC, while Black is tied for third in the conference in steals.

Georgia vs. Arkansas Betting Pick

Interestingly enough, the winner in the last three meetings has scored exactly 99 points. Arkansas may not get 99 in this one, but it may not need to. Arkansas has allowed just two of its last 10 opponents to surpass 70 points and I don't anticipate Georgia getting there either.

Arkansas runs a guard-heavy lineup, but they are all in the range of 6-foot-5 and 6-foot-7. They will make it difficult for Roberts and Oquendo, who are 6-foot-3 and 6-foot-4, respectively, to shoot over them on contested jumpers. Arkansas' interior defense and rim protection will also make it tough for Georgia to score inside.

On the other end, Arkansas is going to score inside and likely at will. It scores 44.8 points per game off twos, which is 11th in the country. Georgia has one of the weakest interiors it will go against in the SEC.

Additionally, Georgia is 0-5 ATS in its last five games as a double-digit road underdog in conference play. It lost those games by an average of 25.6 points. I'll back the Razorbacks to win and cover.

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Nick Sterling
Jul 21, 2024 UTC