College Basketball Odds, Picks, Prediction for Memphis vs Cincinnati (Sunday, Jan. 22)
Pictured: Landers Nolley II #2 of the Cincinnati Bearcats. (Photo by Mitchell Layton/Getty Images)
Memphis vs Cincinnati Odds
-110o / -110u
-110o / -110u
The Bearcats are back in Fifth Third Arena and will be looking to add to their three-game win streak on Sunday. Cincinnati picked up back-to-back road wins against SMU and South Florida, extending a winning streak that began with a home blowout of East Carolina.
Meanwhile, Memphis is hoping to string three wins together for the first time since the new year. The Tigers are 4-2 in conference play, having posted wins over Temple and Wichita State in their past two games.
Cincinnati leads the all time series at 47-37, however, Memphis has won the past three, including two at Fifth Third Arena.
The Tigers rank inside the top 50 nationally in offensive and defensive efficiency. However, since conference play began, Memphis’ defense has taken a noticeable decline. In non-conference play, the Tigers held opposing teams to just 67.9 points per game, but against AAC opponent, Memphis is giving up 80.8 points per game.
On the offensive end, the Tigers rank third in the conference in effective field goal percentage and are averaging 84 points per game. That being said, they have yet to establish themselves from 3-point range and are shooting just 33% from deep against conference opponents.
On defense, Memphis best quality has been forcing turnovers. The Tigers are pressuring teams into 17.8 turnovers per game in conference play and averaging 22.5 points off of turnovers per game. They’ve also been one of the best when it comes to drawing fouls, forcing opponents to rack up 21.3 fouls per game in conference play.
The Bearcats have been great when it comes to limiting turnovers and even better at limiting fouls, but how will they respond against a Memphis team that excels in those areas?
Cincinnati is second in the conference in defensive efficiency and is the best in effective field goal percentage allowed. Against conference opponents, the Bearcats have limited teams to just 41.5% shooting on 2-point shots and 28.2% on 3’s.
The Bearcats have been even better defending at the rim. Cincinnati ranks in the 100th percentile nationally and is holding opponents to an insane 44.4% shooting at the rim. However, not everything is going quite so perfect.
Cincinnati has gotten killed from the mid-range and is allowing opponents to shoot 43.5% from the area. The good news is Memphis takes just 11.3% of its shots from mid-range.
The biggest storyline in this game is Landers Nolley’s first meeting against his former team. Nolley played two seasons at Memphis and earned the NIT’s Most Outstanding Player Award during the Tigers 2021 run.
Memphis vs Cincinnati Betting Pick
Five of the past seven games between these teams have been decided by single digits. I think this game will be close, but I also fully expect Nolley to have a huge impact against his former team.
Back the Bearcats to get it done as high as a 3-point favorite.