UNLV vs. Utah State Odds, Picks & Predictions: Mountain West Basketball Betting Preview (Saturday, Feb. 5)
Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images. Pictured: Bryce Hamilton (UNLV)
- Utah State (14-9) hosts UNLV (13-9) on Saturday for a Mountain West Conference basketball matchup that tips off at 6 p.m. ET.
- The Aggies opened as 8.5-point favorites, and that point spread has held leading up to tipoff time. Similarly, the over/under opened at 138.5, where it still remains as of writing.
- UNLV has ample momentum heading into this matchup, while Utah State is on its third game in five days. As a result, should you expect ample points, or a sluggish conference bout?
UNLV vs. Utah State Odds
-110o / -110u
|Utah State Odds|
-110o / -110u
Utah State will look to make it five wins in a row, as it welcomes in the UNLV Rebels in a Mountain West matchup.
UNLV had traded wins for losses in each game since starting the new year. The Rebels defeated Colorado State and Nevada in its last two games. It was the Rebels’ first victory over its in-state rival since 2018.
Bryce Hamilton has been a man on a mission recently for UNLV, exceeding 30 points in three of his last five games.
It’s been a bit of a roller coaster for Utah State, which started Mountain West play with just one victory in its first six games. Since then, the group has found four victories in a row. This will be the Aggies’ third home game over the last five days.
Both offenses have been thriving, which will translate to points in this matchup.
UNLV is coming fresh off of two of the biggest wins of the season, beating Colorado State on the road and Nevada at home. The Bels look to make it three in a row against a Utah State program that has been surging.
The offense is centralized around Bryce Hamilton, who is one of the top players in the Mountain West. Hamilton is averaging 21 points and hitting 35% of his 146 attempts from outside.
He single-handily carried the Rebels to a victory at Colorado State, where he exploded for 42 points while hitting 7-for-13 from beyond the arc.
6-foot-6 forward Donovan Williams is the Robin to Hamilton’s Batman. Williams is a proven scorer that has put up 14 points a game this season while eclipsing 20 points or more in four games.
The UNLV offense ranks among the bottom in the conference in field goal percentage, hitting 43% of its shots. But its showed improvement recently, hitting over 50% of its field goals in three of its last six games.
Utah State has responded to its slow start in conference play by ripping off four wins in a row by an average margin of 23 points. Most recently, it defeated San Jose State by 16 points after leading by just one at the break.
During the four-game win streak, the Aggies have been shooting 51% from the field. That isn’t out of the norm for the program, which has hit 55% of its field goal attempts on the season, which is top-30 in the country. The group is specifically dominant scoring inside the perimeter, where it hit 57% of its attempts, good for ninth nationally.
The offense has seven players scoring eight or more points per game. Leading the charge is Justin Bean ,who has accumulated 14 double-doubles this season. He’s scored in double-figures in every game but one this season.
Utah State owns a top-50 defensive efficiency rating and has been stellar recently. During the four-game win streak, the defense has held its opponents to 40% from the field and just 54 points.
UNLV vs. Utah State Betting Pick
Though Utah State has been rolling, this will be its third game over the last five days after squeezing in a makeup game Thursday night.
The offense has been dominating inside the perimeter. The Aggies have converted on their 2-point shots at a top-10 rate this season. UNLV’s defense allows its opponents to hit nearly 50% of such shot attempts.
UNLV has also found a spark the last week, winning two of its biggest games of the season. Bryce Hamilton has turned into superman and been virtually unstoppable, averaging nearly 30 points over the last five games.
The Utah State defense has been stout the last four games, but it has faced the three bottom scoring offenses in the Mountain West in that span.
This game is poised to be a high-scoring affair with Utah State dominating inside and Hamilton taking advantage of some tired legs.
Pick: Over 138.5 (Play to 140)
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