PRO Systems circled multiple situational gems bettors should consider on Tuesday's betting slate.
A sharp angle is active for college basketball on January 6 across a couple of games. The Toledo vs. Northern Illinois matchup (8 p.m. ET, ESPN+) and Texas Tech vs. Houston (9 p.m. ET, FS1) both fit a unique system backed by a 67% lifetime hit rate.
PRO subscribers gain access to Bet Labs to unlock all sorts of valuable trends.
Let’s get into Tuesday's data-driven predictions, via a neat system crafted by Action's betting researchers.
67% College Basketball Model Picks Toledo vs. NIU, Texas Tech vs. Houston
Location is extremely key to these predictions, and you probably wouldn’t even know it.
On Tuesday, bettors interested in tailing an intricate situational pattern will want to target the under in both Toledo vs. NIU and Texas Tech vs. Houston.
These recommendations stem from the “Stadium Unders” PRO System crafted by Evan Abrams, which exploits venue-specific scoring trends.
In college hoops, certain arenas consistently influence game flow and scoring totals due to their unique environments. Factors like deeper backdrops, atypical lighting and court configurations can suppress shooting efficiency and slow pace. This system zeroes in on arenas where unders have repeatedly hit, especially when the teams involved are also coming off games that finished under the total.
For Tuesday’s slate, both NIU and Houston fit this mold perfectly.
NIU plays at home in the NIU Convocation Center, a venue historically conducive to unders, with its previous game landing under the closing total by 7.5 points. Houston hosts Texas Tech at the Fertitta Center, another arena known for limiting scoring, and Houston’s previous contest finished under by 8.5 points. Teams entering these environments after hitting the under recently often carry momentum for another defensive-heavy, lower-scoring performance.
This situational model has been tested across multiple seasons, illustrating how specific arena conditions can matter more than general or neutral-court factors.
The system is off to a 23-11 (68%) start this season, with roughly a two-thirds win rate overall since tracking.
PRO System Pick: Toledo vs. NIU Under
PRO System Pick: Texas Tech vs. Houston Under
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that's where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high-grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
