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CBB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Illinois-Iowa, 2 Other Thursday Games

Mar 14, 2019 4:19 PM EDT
Credit:

Iowa Hawkeyes forward Tyler Cook. Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

  • Wiseguys are getting down on three college basketball games on Thursday, headlined by Illinois-Iowa (9:30 p.m. ET, Big Ten Network).
  • Sharps are also betting UCLA-Arizona State (9 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network) and Montana State-Eastern Washington (10 p.m. ET, Pluto TV).
  • Using the tools available at The Action Network, we analyze how pros are betting each game.

After two straight winning days to start the week, wiseguys went 1-2 on Wednesday. The killer was the St. John’s Under (moved from 155 to 154.5). A meaningless, last-second layup pushed the game from 154 to 156, which ended up being the difference between a winning and a losing night.

No time to cry over bad beats. Wiseguys are already onto the next play.

After analyzing Thursday’s loaded 62-game slate using the betting tools available at Sports Insights and The Action Network, I’ve identified three games receiving sharp action from professional bettors.

Betting Terms to Know

Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.

Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.

Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.

Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.


UCLA vs. Arizona State

9:30 p.m. ET | PAC 12 Network

Sharp angle: Under (moved from 156.5 to 156)

UCLA and Arizona State are two of the highest-scoring teams in the country, with both averaging between 77 and 79 points per game. But wiseguys don’t envision an old school shootout tonight. They see value on a total in this Pac-12 quarterfinal.

As soon as this over/under opened, wiseguys immediately got down hard on the Under 156.5, triggering market-wide steam that dropped the total down to 156.

The under is also receiving big action in the form of 78% of bets and 80% of dollars. On the surface, this looks like both a public and sharp play, however, we’ve tracked only 641 bets on the game. This means that the heavy betting is coming mostly from wiseguys who have targeted this game from the outset.

With so many games being played all day, the public just hasn’t gotten down to betting the later games yet. And when they do, they’ll likely be focusing on the over, not the under.

Illinois vs. Iowa

9:30 p.m. ET | Big Ten Network