Duke vs. Tennessee Odds: Public Hammering Spread and What it Means for Bettors

Duke vs. Tennessee Odds: Public Hammering Spread and What it Means for Bettors article feature image
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Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images. Pictured: Mark Mitchell (Duke).

The Duke Blue Devils are three-point betting favorites against the spread over the Tennessee Volunteers for Saturday's Round of 32 NCAA Tournament game.

And the betting splits are about as one-sided as it gets.

Using our NCAA basketball public betting data, we've logged a whopping 82% of the tickets against the spread on the No. 5-seeded Blue Devils.

Bet Labs history reveals an interesting pattern whenever these trendy bets in the NCAA Tournament get pounded.

Biggest Public Sides in NCAA Tournament Since 2005 (0-8 ATS)

Team
Matchup
Year/Result
Oregon (-8.5) vs.
Miami-Ohio
2007, Round of 64
Oregon (89%) | ORE, 58-56
Louisville (-21.5) vs.
Morehead State
2009, Round of 64
Louisville (87%) | UL, 74-54
Oklahoma (-14.5) vs.
Cal State Bakersfield
2016, Round of 64
Oklahoma (85%) | OU, 82-68
Tennessee (-19) vs.
American
2008, Round of 64
Tennessee (85%) | TENN, 72-57
Memphis (-20) vs.
Cal State Northridge
2009, Round of 64
Memphis (84%) | MEM, 81-70
Duke (-20.5) vs.
Albany
2013, Round of 64
Duke (83%) | Duke, 73-61
Memphis (-26) vs.
UT Arlington
2008, Round of 64
Memphis (83%) | MEM, 87-63
Michigan State (-5) vs.
George Mason
2006, Round of 64
Michigan St. (82%) | MSU, 75-65

If it holds, Duke would be a top-10 most-bet team ever in the tourney. Teams getting 82% or more of tickets have yet to cover in the NCAA Tournament, per our own Evan Abrams.

Duke took care of business in the Round of 64, routing Oral Roberts 74-51 as 5.5-point favorites.

The Blue Devils enter Saturday's game vs. Tennessee on a 5-0 run against the spread. Jon Scheyer's club was a perfect 3-0 through the ACC Tournament.

Tennessee, meanwhile, has dropped three of the last four against the spread.

The No. 4-seeded Volunteers escaped ULL in the Round of 64 by a score of 58-55, failing to cover as double-digit chalk.

Saturday's Duke vs. Tennessee over/under is 125.5. Check out the expert pick for the Round of 32 total here.

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