Stanford heads to Gill Coliseum tonight looking to continue its four-game winning steak against a reeling Oregon State team limping to the finish line of the regular season.
The Beavers won the reverse fixture at Stanford earlier this season 68-63, so Stanford will be looking to enact some revenge in Corvallis.
Odds as of Thursday morning and via PointsBet. Get up to $275 in free bets at PointsBet today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.
Stanford at Oregon State Odds
- Spread: Oregon State -1
- Over/Under: 133.5
- Time: 9 p.m. ET
- TV: Pac-12 Network
Stanford (20-9, 19-10 ATS) desperately needs this win tonight, a win at Oregon on Saturday, and a run in the Pac-12 Tournament to solidify an at large bid for the NCAA Tournament. Oregon St. (13-15, 15-13 ATS) on the other hand is in free fall losing four straight and is looking to right the ship.
Stanford has been the best shooting team in Pac-12 play this season, ranking first in the Pac-12 at eFG%, 3P%, and 2P%, while Oregon St. in conference play rank near the bottom of Pac 12 in all of those categories.
In addition, the Beavers are the worst team in defensive efficiency in the Pac 12 at 108.9 in conference play, according to KenPom. Stanford will have plenty of open looks against from all over the floor and if the Cardinal shoot the ball like they have been during Pac-12 play, I think they can get out of Corvallis with a win tonight.
Oregon St.'s offensive output almost solely comes from inside the arc (53.3%) or at the charity stripe (22.1%) and for good reason, as they are a poor 31.7% from behind the arc this season, and 27.4% in conference play.
Stanford is one of the best defensive teams in the country, ranking sixth in defensive efficiency according to KenPom at 89.6. Stanford is also ranks top 10 in the country in defensively in eFG% and 3P%. Therefore, very little of the Beaver's point will come from the 3-point line. So for them to win this game, they will have to do it from inside the arc against Stanford's elite defense or at the free throw line.
My model has Stanford -2.5 in this game, so I think there is plenty of value on Stanford as an underdog or at a pick'em.
Pick: Stanford +1
