Yale vs. North Carolina Sharp Betting Pick: Pro Money Moving Point Spread

At just 7-5 overall, the North Carolina Tar Heels are not having a textbook UNC season. In fact, they’ve even lost their place in the heart of the public, as they are receiving the minority of bets today against Yale.

You know, the Ivy League team — that Yale.

The Bulldogs are 10-3 thus far on the year and are on a seven-game win streak, but squads like Bucknell and Lehigh are not quite the same as UNC. Meanwhile, four of UNC’s five losses have come to top-25 teams. Other than a couple of games early, the Tar Heels don’t get a chance to play cupcakes like Yale does.

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On the surface, taking Yale at the opener of +6.5 looked like a smart choice to public bettors. Sharps had something else in mind.

Yale vs. North Carolina Sharp Betting Pick

After early movement from -6.5 to -7, steam struck UNC early this morning and bumped the line up another whole point to -8. With 59% of bets, Yale is still getting the brunt of action from the public, but pros are using that recency bias to their advantage.

Not only has Yale been a great team straight up, it is also 10-2 against the spread (ATS) in lined games. UNC is a mere 4-8 ATS.

Recreational bettors see the records and let their bets fly. In reality, those numbers really mean very little in a sport like college basketball, especially at this point of the season.

They’re still without their star player Cole Anthony, but sharps still think UNC is worth a bet against these red-hot Ivy Leaguers.

Sharp angle: UNC (moved from -6.5 to -8)