Miami (FL) vs. S. Florida Odds & Betting Predictions - September 21, 2024

Miami (FL) at S. Florida

11:00 pm • ESPN
50 - 15

Miami (FL) at S. Florida Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Miami (FL)
10-2
-18
-16.5-110
o64.5-112
-850
S. Florida
6-6
u65
+16.5-110
u64.5-109
+575
location pinSaturday 11:00 p.m.
September 21, 2024
Raymond James StadiumTampa
Miami (FL) vs. S. Florida Expert Picks
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
73d ago
Last 30d: 171-225-4 (-53.7u)
MIA -17-108
2u
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
73d ago
Last 30d: 14-13-0 (-0.6u)
USF +17-111
1u
@Stuckey2
Brett McMurphy
Brett McMurphy
73d ago
Last 30d: 22-18-2 (+1.6u)
USF +17-110
1u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
74d ago
Last 30d: 110-98-5 (+5.0u)
USF +17-110
1.1u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
75d ago
Last 30d: 103-104-3 (-10.0u)
USF +17-110
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Miami enters this matchup riding high after a dominant start, but we've seen this before. The Hurricanes opened last season with similar hype, only to falter when the competition stiffened, and history may repeat itself here. After a blowout win over Florida and a couple of easy victories against Ball State and Florida A&M, the Hurricanes look solid on both sides of the ball. However, their true mettle hasn't been tested, especially in their secondary. USF, with its potent passing game led by quarterback Byrum Brown, has the tools to exploit this. Miami's secondary, while athletic, hasn't faced a serious passing attack this year, and USF could present the first real challenge. Byrum Brown's dual-threat ability adds another wrinkle to this game. His rushing prowess gives the Bulls offense a solid floor, preventing Miami's aggressive pass rush from simply teeing off. USF has been improving steadily, and while their defense is still a work in progress, there have been encouraging signs, particularly with the influx of experienced transfers. The Bulls should be able to at least keep the Hurricanes honest, especially with the motivation that comes from playing a home game against a nationally ranked team. USF’s track record under head coach Alex Golesh shows they can rise to the occasion in these types of matchups, as evidenced by competitive outings against Power 5 teams like Alabama. Another factor working in USF's favor is the market's possible overvaluation of Miami. The Hurricanes' blowout win over Florida looks less impressive after Texas A&M's dismantling of the Gators, and Miami's failure to cover as a heavy favorite is a pattern under Mario Cristobal. His 8-16 ATS record as a 14-plus point favorite is a strong indication that the Hurricanes tend to play down to their competition in such scenarios. USF, playing in front of a raucous home crowd, will likely keep this one closer than expected, particularly with the emotion of a matchup against an in-state powerhouse. Furthermore, teams laying two or more touchdowns in their fourth game have historically struggled to cover, hitting less than 40% of the time. While Miami has the talent to overpower inferior opponents, USF's offensive firepower and an improving defense provide enough of a threat to keep this game competitive. The Bulls might not win outright, but getting 17 points or more in a high-energy home setting gives them significant value in this spot.
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
75d ago
Last 30d: 81-69-3 (-16.8u)
USF +17.5-112
1.12u
Per BBOC Podcast, available on YouTube and all podcast platforms
Brett McMurphy
Brett McMurphy
76d ago
Last 30d: 22-18-2 (+1.6u)
Over 65-109
1u
Babs .
Babs .
77d ago
Last 30d: 93-84-2 (+3.8u)
Under 14.5 (1Q)-120
1u
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
78d ago
Last 30d: 67-58-0 (+2.3u)
USF +17.5-110
0.5u
Babs .
Babs .
78d ago
Last 30d: 93-84-2 (+3.8u)
USF +17.5-112
1u

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Miami (FL) vs. S. Florida Public Betting Percentages

76%

Bets%

24%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
S. Florida
6-62-44-23-22-4
Miami (FL)
6-63-33-35-5N/A

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
S. Florida
7-53-34-25-02-4
Miami (FL)
9-34-25-17-3N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
S. Florida
6-6N/AN/A4-11-5
Miami (FL)
10-2N/AN/A8-2N/A

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 14th@USMW 49-24-13 WO 58USF -492
Sep 7th@BAMAL 16-42+30.5 WU 65BAMA +2095
Aug 31stBCUW 48-3-43.5 WU 59.5-
Dec 22nd@SYRW 45-0+3 WU 55.5USF +130
Nov 26thCHAW 48-14-7 WO 57USF -278

S. Florida vs. Miami (FL) Injury Updates

S. Florida Injuries

  • Michael Brown-Stephens
    WR

    Brown-Stephens is questionable with head

    Questionable

Miami (FL) Injuries

    Team Stats
    592
    Total Yards
    365
    63
    Total Plays
    75
    9.396825396825397
    Yards Per Play
    4.866666666666666
    404
    YDS
    303
    24/34
    Comps/Atts
    26/43
    11.882352941176471
    YPA
    7.046511627906977
    3/1
    TDs/INTs
    1/2
    0/0
    Sacks/Yards
    4/27
    188
    Rush Yards
    62
    29
    Attempts
    32
    6.482758620689655
    YPC
    1.9375
    4
    TDs
    0
    0
    Fumbles Lost
    0
    1
    Interceptions
    2
    5/5 100%
    Redzone
    2/4 50%
    7/9 0%
    3rd Down
    7/17 0%
    0/0 0%
    4th Down
    1/1 0%
    27
    Total
    23
    17
    Pass
    14
    7
    Rush
    4
    3
    Penalty
    5
    11/113
    Penalties/Yards
    11/73

    Miami (FL) vs. S. Florida Odds Comparison

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    Miami (FL) at S. Florida Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Miami (FL)
    10-2
    o40.5-130
    u40.5-105
    S. Florida
    6-6
    o23.5-115
    u23.5-120