Auburn vs Arkansas Pick & Prediction | How to Bet This SEC Duel
Wesley Hitt/Getty Images. Pictured: Arkansas quarterback KJ Jefferson.
Auburn vs Arkansas Odds
| Auburn Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -105 | 49 -110o / -110u | +110 |
| Arkansas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -115 | 49 -110o / -110u | -135 |
Despite Auburn and Arkansas both sitting toward the bottom of the SEC West standings, each has plenty to play for on Saturday afternoon.
For the visiting Tigers, it's a chance to secure a sixth victory, which would lock in a bowl game in the first year of the Hugh Freeze era.
Meanwhile, for the Razorbacks, the goal of making the postseason remains alive with a victory. Going to a bowl game looked pretty dicey after the Hogs dropped to 2-6, but an upset win last week in Gainesville gives new life to Sam Pittman's bunch.
Check out Auburn vs. Arkansas odds, along with a pick and prediction, for Saturday's SEC college football game on November 11.
Auburn has been pretty darn competitive throughout the season, and it has done so with a roster that's lacking in overall talent.
Credit to Freeze, who has long been one of the more respected offensive minds in the sport.
That being said, it has actually been the Tigers defense that has been the driving force behind their five wins to this point.
Even in losses to top-10 opponents Ole Miss and Georgia, Auburn was right there with both teams into the fourth quarter and got plenty of stops.
The challenge for this team has been a lack of offensive firepower. The Tigers rank a dreadful 89th in the country in Quality Drives and come in outside the top 90 in Pass Success Rate.
Quarterback Payton Thorne has just not been able to have the same level of success through the air that he had at Michigan State in prior seasons.
In a game that's likely to be tight throughout, finishing off drives with touchdowns in the red zone will be critical for the Tiger offense.
I know the old adage goes, "You are what your record says you are," but Arkansas is not your typical 3-6 team.
The Hogs have endured a plethora of one-possession losses this season, including at LSU by 3, at Alabama by 3 and at home to Mississippi State by four in a game they had no business losing.
Inconsistency in the passing game has plagued the Razorbacks, and KJ Jefferson has been unable to find a reliable target down the field.
The return of Raheim "Rocket" Sanders from injury was a big boost last week against Florida, and he should continue to help make the Hogs offense much more dynamic.
Additionally, this should be a good matchup for the Razorback defense. Auburn relies heavily on its ground game, and Arkansas has been sound against the run all year.
As a result, Auburn could find itself in many third-and-long situations, which will allow defensive coordinator Travis Williams to dial up some blitzes and generate some Havoc.
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Auburn and Arkansas match up statistically:
Auburn Offense vs. Arkansas Defense
 | Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 37 | 31 | |
| Line Yards | 112 | 26 | |
| Pass Success | 94 | 48 | |
| Havoc | 108 | 23 | |
| Finishing Drives | 68 | 38 | |
| Quality Drives | 89 | 71 |
Arkansas Offense vs. Auburn Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 78 | 68 | |
| Line Yards | 56 | 36 | |
| Pass Success | 102 | 26 | |
| Havoc | 130 | 37 | |
| Finishing Drives | 38 | 53 | |
| Quality Drives | 88 | 33 |
Pace of Play / Other
| ||
| PFF Tackling | 51 | 45 |
| PFF Coverage | 22 | 71 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 30 | 4 |
| Middle 8 | 1 | 37 |
| Seconds per Play | 27.2 (72) | 28.6 (95) |
| Rush Rate | 62.0% (16) | 57.8% (52) |
Auburn vs Arkansas
Betting Pick & Prediction
Pittman has kept his team together when it would have been very easy to lose the locker room after some difficult losses earlier in the year. I think that resilience pays off for the Hogs this week.
Arkansas regained some mojo with the road win at Florida last week, so expect the Razorbacks to come out fired up at home looking to build off of that on Saturday.
The Auburn offense continues to be pedestrian, and I think we'll see the Tigers struggle to move the ball throughout this contest.
Give me the Razorbacks to secure the home victory, covering the number as a short favorite in the process. Woo Pig Sooie.
Pick: Arkansas -2.5
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